Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38302536›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2024

Elicitation and aggregation of multimodal estimates improve wisdom of crowd effects on ordering tasks.

Yeawon Yoo, Adolfo R Escobedo, Ryan Kemmer, Erin Chiou

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Yeawon YooThe Martin V. Smith School of Business & Economics, California State University Channel Islands, 1 University Drive, Camarillo, CA, 93012, USA. yeawon.yoo@csuci.edu.
Adolfo R EscobedoEdward P. Fitts Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, North Carolina State University, 915 Partners Way, Raleigh, NC, 27606, USA. arescobedo@ncsu.edu.
Ryan KemmerSchool of Computing and Augmented Intelligence, Arizona State University, P.O. Box 878809, Tempe, AZ, 85281, USA.
Erin ChiouThe Polytechnic School, Arizona State University, 7271 E Sonoran Arroyo Mall, Mesa, AZ, 85212, USA.

Funding

National Science Foundation Award 1850355
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We present a wisdom of crowds study where participants are asked to order a small set of images based on the number of dots they contain and then to guess the respective number of dots in each image. We test two input elicitation interfaces-one elicits the two modalities of estimates jointly and the other independently. We show that the latter interface yields higher quality estimates, even though the multimodal estimates tend to be more self-contradictory. The inputs are aggregated via optimization and voting-rule based methods to estimate the true ordering of a larger universal set of images. We demonstrate that the quality of collective estimates from the simpler yet more computationally-efficient voting methods is comparable to that achieved by the more complex optimization model. Lastly, we find that using multiple modalities of estimates from one group yields better collective estimates compared to mixing numerical estimates from one group with the ordinal estimates from a different group.

Identifiers

PMID38302536
PMCPMC10834972

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.