Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38302129›Full record

Observational studyBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2024

Atypia detected during breast screening and subsequent development of cancer: observational analysis of the Sloane atypia prospective cohort in England.

Karoline Freeman, David Jenkinson, Karen Clements, Matthew G Wallis, Sarah E Pinder, Elena Provenzano, Hilary Stobart, Nigel Stallard, Olive Kearins, Nisha Sharma and 6 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05402436 (Breast Screening Atypia and Subsequent Development of Cancer), which is not on this map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 23% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05402436 completednot on this map

Breast Screening Atypia and Subsequent Development of Cancer: an Observational Analysis of the Sloane Database in England (Sloane Atypia Cohort Study)

TypeobservationalSponsorUniversity of WarwickRan2021 to 2023Enrolled3,238ConditionsBreast CancerArmsA diagnosis of atypia as part of the English screening programme
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 9 institutions in 2 countries.

Karoline FreemanWarwick Screening, Division of Health Sciences, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
David JenkinsonWarwick Screening, Division of Health Sciences, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
Karen ClementsScreening Quality Assurance Service, NHS England, Birmingham, UK.
Matthew G WallisCambridge Breast Unit and NIHR Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre, Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Trust, Cambridge, UK.
Sarah E PinderSchool of Cancer & Pharmaceutical Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.
Elena ProvenzanoHistopathology and NIHR Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre, Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Cambridge, UK.
Hilary StobartPatient representative, Independent Cancer Patients' Voice, UK.
Nigel StallardWarwick Clinical Trials Unit, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
Olive KearinsScreening Quality Assurance Service, NHS England, Birmingham, UK.
Nisha SharmaBreast Screening Unit, Seacroft Hospital, York Road, Leeds, UK.
Abeer ShaabanUniversity Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham, UK.
Cliona Clare KirwanDivision of Cancer Sciences, School of Medical Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Bridget HiltonScreening Quality Assurance Service, NHS England, Birmingham, UK.
Alastair M ThompsonDepartment of Surgical Oncology, Dan L Duncan Comprehensive Cancer Center, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA.
Sian Taylor-PhillipsWarwick Screening, Division of Health Sciences, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-1841-4346
Sloane Project Steering Group
University of Warwick · GBNHS EnglandCambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust · GBBaylor College of Medicine · USGuy's Hospital · GBSeacroft Hospital · GBThe Patients Association · GBUniversity Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust · GBUniversity of Manchester · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo explore how the number and type of breast cancers developed after screen detected atypia compare with the anticipated 11.3 cancers detected per 1000 women screened within one three year screening round in the United Kingdom.

designObservational analysis of the Sloane atypia prospective cohort in England.

settingAtypia diagnoses through the English NHS breast screening programme reported to the Sloane cohort study. This cohort is linked to the English Cancer Registry and the Mortality and Birth Information System for information on subsequent breast cancer and mortality.

participants3238 women diagnosed as having epithelial atypia between 1 April 2003 and 30 June 2018.

main outcome measuresNumber and type of invasive breast cancers detected at one, three, and six years after atypia diagnosis by atypia type, age, and year of diagnosis.

resultsThere was a fourfold increase in detection of atypia after the introduction of digital mammography between 2010 (n=119) and 2015 (n=502). During 19 088 person years of follow-up after atypia diagnosis (until December 2018), 141 women developed breast cancer. Cumulative incidence of cancer per 1000 women with atypia was 0.95 (95% confidence interval 0.28 to 2.69), 14.2 (10.3 to 19.1), and 45.0 (36.3 to 55.1) at one, three, and six years after atypia diagnosis, respectively. Women with atypia detected more recently have lower rates of subsequent cancers detected within three years (6.0 invasive cancers per 1000 women (95% confidence interval 3.1 to 10.9) in 2013-18

conclusionsMany atypia could represent risk factors rather than precursors of invasive cancer requiring surgery in the short term. Women with atypia detected more recently have lower rates of subsequent cancers detected, which might be associated with changes to mammography and biopsy techniques identifying forms of atypia that are more likely to represent overdiagnosis. Annual mammography in the short term after atypia diagnosis might not be beneficial. More evidence is needed about longer term risks.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsState MedicineCohort StudiesEarly Detection of CancerEnglandFemaleHumansMammographyMass ScreeningProspective Studies

Identifiers

PMID38302129
PMCPMC10831586
OpenAlexW4391451161

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.