Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38297003›Full record

SynthesisNature communications2024

Maternal pertussis immunization and the blunting of routine vaccine effectiveness: a meta-analysis and modeling study.

Michael Briga, Elizabeth Goult, Tobias S Brett, Pejman Rohani, Matthieu Domenech de Cellès

Open access · goldAbstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
10.3field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 30 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Surveillance and vaccine effectiveness of pertussis, the Netherlands, 2012 to 2024, with an unprecedented surge in 2023 and 2024.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2026
    Article
  6. Prophylactic monoclonal antibodies against respiratory syncytial virus in early life: An in-depth review of mechanisms of action, failure factors, and future perspectives.Pediatric allergy and immunology : official publication of the European Society of Pediatric Allergy and Immunology · 2025
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Vaccination in pregnancy to protect the newborn.Nature reviews. Immunology · 2025
    Review
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Review
  14. Review
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Pertussis vaccines, epidemiology and evolution.Nature reviews. Microbiology · 2024
    Review
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Michael BrigaInfectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Max Planck Institute for Infection Biology, Berlin, Germany. michbriga@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0003-3160-0407
Elizabeth GoultInfectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Max Planck Institute for Infection Biology, Berlin, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-3354-1730
Tobias S BrettOdum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, 30602, USA.
Pejman RohaniOdum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, 30602, USA.
Matthieu Domenech de CellèsInfectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Max Planck Institute for Infection Biology, Berlin, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-9302-4858
Max Planck Institute for Infection Biology · DEUniversity of Georgia · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A key goal of pertussis control is to protect infants too young to be vaccinated, the age group most vulnerable to this highly contagious respiratory infection. In the last decade, maternal immunization has been deployed in many countries, successfully reducing pertussis in this age group. Because of immunological blunting, however, this strategy may erode the effectiveness of primary vaccination at later ages. Here, we systematically reviewed the literature on the relative risk (RR) of pertussis after primary immunization of infants born to vaccinated vs. unvaccinated mothers. The four studies identified had ≤6 years of follow-up and large statistical uncertainty (meta-analysis weighted mean RR: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.38-1.32). To interpret this evidence, we designed a new mathematical model with explicit blunting mechanisms and evaluated maternal immunization's short- and long-term impact on pertussis transmission dynamics. We show that transient dynamics can mask blunting for at least a decade after rolling out maternal immunization. Hence, the current epidemiological evidence may be insufficient to rule out modest reductions in the effectiveness of primary vaccination. Irrespective of this potential collateral cost, we predict that maternal immunization will remain effective at protecting unvaccinated newborns, supporting current public health recommendations.

Indexed as

Respiratory Tract InfectionsVaccinesWhooping CoughFemaleHumansImmunizationInfantInfant, NewbornParturitionPregnancyVaccinationVaccines

Identifiers

PMID38297003
PMCPMC10830464
OpenAlexW4391387826

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.