ReviewScientific reports2024
Evidence that recent climatic changes have expanded the potential geographical range of the Mediterranean fruit fly.
Review in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
13 citing papers in PubMed.
- When Winters Fail: How Warming Winters Fuel Pest Resurgence and Threaten Food Security.Plant-environment interactions (Hoboken, N.J.) · 2026Article
- Eco-friendly fruit fly control through protein-gated mesoporous silica nanoparticles.Journal of pesticide science · 2026Article
- Climate Change Can Generate Enemy-Free Space for Crop-Feeding Herbivores.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Article
- Hungary's Current Climate Conditions Converge With the North-Mediterranean of the 1980s: A Case Study in Mediterranean Ant Species New to Hungary.Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Overwintering Capacity of the Mediterranean Fruit Fly in the Dalmatia Region of Croatia.Insects · 2025Article
- How urban proximity shapes agricultural pest dynamics: a review.Pest management science · 2025Review
- Article
- Temperature and Host Fruit During Immature Development Shape Adult Life History Traits of DifferentInsects · 2025Article
- The fallacy of the integrated pest management paradigm and the need for its OFF seasonal shift in the management of tropical fruit flies (Diptera: Tephritidae): The case ofCurrent research in insect science · 2025Article
- Invasion History and Dispersion Dynamics of the Mediterranean Fruit Fly in the Balkan Peninsula.Insects · 2024Review
- Overwintering potential of the Mediterranean fruit fly (Diptera: Tephritidae) in Austria.Journal of economic entomology · 2024Article
- Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The species distributions migration poleward and into higher altitudes in a warming climate is especially concerning for economically important insect pest species, as their introduction can potentially occur in places previously considered unsuitable for year-round survival. We explore the expansion of the climatically suitable areas for a horticultural pest, the Mediterranean fruit fly (medfly) Ceratitis capitata (Diptera, Tephritidae), with an emphasis on Europe and California. We reviewed and refined a published CLIMEX model for C. capitata, taking into consideration new records in marginal locations, with a particular focus on Europe. To assess the model fit and to aid in interpreting the meaning of the new European distribution records, we used a time series climate dataset to explore the temporal patterns of climate suitability for C. capitata from 1970 to 2019. At selected bellwether sites in Europe, we found statistically significant trends in increasing climate suitability, as well as a substantial northward expansion in the modelled potential range. In California, we also found a significant trend of northward and altitudinal expansion of areas suitable for C. capitata establishment. These results provide further evidence of climate change impacts on species distributions and the need for innovative responses to increased invasion threats.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.