Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38285497›Full record

ArticleJMIR public health and surveillance2024

Global Trends in the Incidence of Anxiety Disorders From 1990 to 2019: Joinpoint and Age-Period-Cohort Analysis Study.

Huiru Cao, Yang Wu, Hui Yin, Yanqi Sun, Hui Yuan, Mengjun Tao

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JMIR public health and surveillance, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
15.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 30 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Huiru Cao *Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, China.ORCID 0000-0002-7652-8982
Yang Wu *Department of Health Management Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, China.ORCID 0009-0002-2524-1655
Hui YinDepartment of Hospital Infection, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, China.ORCID 0009-0000-8806-4196
Yanqi SunDepartment of Prevention and Health Care, People's Hospital of Rizhao, Rizhao, China.ORCID 0009-0002-6956-5950
Hui YuanSchool of Public Health, Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, China.ORCID 0000-0003-0555-0119
Mengjun TaoDepartment of Health Management Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, China.ORCID 0000-0002-8593-7673
First Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College · CNPeople’s Hospital of Rizhao · CNWannan Medical College · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAnxiety disorders (ADs) are the most common mental illness with high prevalence, chronicity, and comorbidity. Despite rapid economic and cultural development, the global incidence of ADs continues to increase, with predominance in male individuals.

objectiveTo address the above issues, we analyzed the dynamic trends of the global incidence and disease burden of ADs from 1990 to 2019 and their different effects on age, period, and birth cohort and predicted the future trend of AD incidence.

methodsThe data were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease study in 2019. A joinpoint regression model was used to calculate the annual percent change in AD incidence, and age-period-cohort analysis was used to estimate the independent effects of age, period, and cohort. Nordpred age-period-cohort analysis was used to predict the incidence of ADs from 2020 to 2044.

resultsThe age-standardized incidence rate of ADs increased by 1.06% for both sexes, and the age-standardized disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) rate (ASDR) decreased by 0.12%. Joinpoint regression indicated that increments in average annual percent changes in the age-standardized incidence rate (0.068 vs 0.012) and ASDR (0.035 vs -0.015) for ADs globally were higher among male individuals than female individuals. The age-period-cohort analyses revealed that the relative risk (RR) of the incidence and DALYs of ADs among people of different sexes increased with age in adolescence and middle age and then decreased. For the period effect, the RR of incidence decreased, whereas the RR of DALYs increased in both sexes. Moreover, the RR of the incidence gradually increased and DALYs slowly decreased with birth year for both male and female individuals. New cases of ADs in male individuals are predicted to increase in the coming 25 years.

conclusionsThis study provided the changing trend of the global incidence and disease burden of ADs in the past 3 decades, indicating that early prevention and effective control cannot be ignored. We analyzed the age-period-cohort effect of potential trends in ADs and predicted future incidence trends. The results suggest that we should take active intervention measures, focusing on high-risk groups and developing effective management and control policies to reduce the global burden of disease.

Indexed as

Anxiety DisordersCost of IllnessAdolescentCohort StudiesFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPolicyage-period-cohort analysisanxiety disordersDALYsdisability-adjusted life-yearsincidencejoinpoint regression modelprediction

Identifiers

PMID38285497
PMCPMC10862248
OpenAlexW4391323755

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.