Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38282659›Full record

ArticleJournal of diabetes research2024

Explainable Machine Learning-Based Prediction Model for Diabetic Nephropathy.

Jing-Mei Yin, Yang Li, Jun-Tang Xue, Guo-Wei Zong, Zhong-Ze Fang, Lang Zou

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of diabetes research, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
7.8field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 24 citations in OpenAlex.

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  17. Predictive efficacy assessment of serum βAmerican journal of translational research · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Jing-Mei YinSchool of Mathematics and Computational Science Xiangtan University, Xiangtan, Hunan, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0002-4829-5277
Yang LiDepartment of Toxicology and Sanitary Chemistry, School of Public Health, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China.
Jun-Tang XueDepartment of Toxicology and Sanitary Chemistry, School of Public Health, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China.
Guo-Wei ZongDepartment of Mathematics, School of Public Health, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China.
Zhong-Ze FangDepartment of Toxicology and Sanitary Chemistry, School of Public Health, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1113-9262
Lang ZouSchool of Mathematics and Computational Science Xiangtan University, Xiangtan, Hunan, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4461-8844
Tianjin Medical University · CNXiangtan University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The aim of this study is to analyze the effect of serum metabolites on diabetic nephropathy (DN) and predict the prevalence of DN through a machine learning approach. The dataset consists of 548 patients from April 2018 to April 2019 in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University (SAHDMU). We select the optimal 38 features through a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model and a 10-fold cross-validation. We compare four machine learning algorithms, including extreme gradient boosting (XGB), random forest, decision tree, and logistic regression, by AUC-ROC curves, decision curves, and calibration curves. We quantify feature importance and interaction effects in the optimal predictive model by Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) method. The XGB model has the best performance to screen for DN with the highest AUC value of 0.966. The XGB model also gains more clinical net benefits than others, and the fitting degree is better. In addition, there are significant interactions between serum metabolites and duration of diabetes. We develop a predictive model by XGB algorithm to screen for DN. C2, C5DC, Tyr, Ser, Met, C24, C4DC, and Cys have great contribution in the model and can possibly be biomarkers for DN.

Indexed as

Diabetes MellitusDiabetic NephropathiesAlgorithmsCalibrationHospitals, UniversityHumansMachine Learning

Identifiers

PMID38282659
PMCPMC10821806
OpenAlexW4391047834

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.