Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38276819›Full record

ArticleInsects2023

Winter Rains Support Butterfly Diversity, but Summer Monsoon Rainfall Drives Post-Monsoon Butterfly Abundance in the Arid Southwest of the US.

Helen Ivy Rowe, Bradly Johnson, Jennifer Broatch, Terese Maxine Papag Cruz, Kathleen L Prudic

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Insects, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Helen Ivy RoweSchool of Earth and Sustainability, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ 86011, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1545-7658
Bradly JohnsonSchool of Mathematical and Natural Sciences, Arizona State University West, Phoenix, AZ 85069, USA.
Jennifer BroatchSchool of Mathematical and Natural Sciences, Arizona State University West, Phoenix, AZ 85069, USA.
Terese Maxine Papag CruzSchool of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8855-5948
Kathleen L PrudicSchool of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8242-7769

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Butterfly populations are declining worldwide, reflecting our current global biodiversity crisis. Because butterflies are a popular and accurate indicator of insect populations, these declines reflect an even more widespread threat to insects and the food webs upon which they rely. As small ectotherms, insects have a narrow range of habitable conditions; hence, extreme fluctuations and shifts caused by climate change may increase insects' risk of extinction. We evaluated trends of butterfly richness and abundance and their relationship with relevant climate variables in Arizona, U.S.A., using the past 40 years of community science data. We focused on precipitation and temperature as they are known to be influential for insect survival, particularly in arid areas like southwestern U.S.A. We found that preceding winter precipitation is a driver of both spring and summer/fall butterfly richness and spring butterfly abundance. In contrast, summer/fall butterfly abundance was driven by summer monsoon precipitations. The statistically significant declines over the 40-year period were summer/fall butterfly abundance and spring butterfly richness. When controlling for the other variables in the model, there was an average annual 1.81% decline in summer/fall season butterfly abundance and an average annual decline of 2.13 species in the spring season. As climate change continues to negatively impact winter precipitation patterns in this arid region, we anticipate the loss of butterfly species in this region and must consider individual butterfly species trends and additional management and conservation needs.

Indexed as

abundanceclimate changecommunity scienceprecipitationrichness

Identifiers

PMID38276819
PMCPMC10816195

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.