Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38276663›Full record

ArticleVaccines2023

The Global Demand and Supply Balance of the Human Papillomavirus Vaccine: Implications for the Global Strategy for the Elimination of Cervical Cancer.

Stefano Malvolti, Adam Soble, Paul Bloem, D Scott LaMontagne, Rakesh Aggarwal, Punnee Pitisuttithum, Helen Rees, Tania Cernuschi

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Vaccines, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
3.0field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Immunogenicity of anVaccines · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Immunogenicity comparison of anThe Lancet regional health. Western Pacific · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 5 institutions in 5 countries.

Stefano MalvoltiMMGH Consulting GmbH, 8049 Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-0146-1127
Adam SobleMMGH Consulting GmbH, 8049 Zurich, Switzerland.
Paul BloemDepartment of Immunization, Vaccines and Biologicals, World Health Organization, 1202 Geneva, Switzerland.
D Scott LaMontagneJohn Snow, Inc. (JSI), Arlington, VA 22202, USA.
Rakesh AggarwalJawaharlal Institute of Postgraduate Medical Education and Research, Puducherry 605006, India.ORCID 0000-0001-9689-494X
Punnee PitisuttithumFaculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok 10400, Thailand.ORCID 0000-0003-3215-2183
Helen ReesWits RHI, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg 2001, South Africa.
Tania CernuschiDepartment of Immunization, Vaccines and Biologicals, World Health Organization, 1202 Geneva, Switzerland.
World Health Organization · CHJawaharlal Institute of Post Graduate Medical Education and Research · INJohn Snow (United States) · USMahidol University · THUniversity of the Witwatersrand · ZA

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

As of November 2023, 140 World Health Organization (WHO) member states had introduced human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination in their routine immunization schedules. Despite a continuously increasing demand from countries across all income groups, supply constraints, COVID-19 pandemic disruptions, and other factors have slowed the pace of introduction, particularly in low-resource settings. Using a population-based forecasting methodology and leveraging the WHO's yearly vaccine supply data collection, we updated global demand and supply projections for the HPV vaccine for the period of 2022-2031. The analysis aimed at clarifying the magnitude of the challenges to bringing in equitable access to HPV vaccines, which can hinder the achievement of the Global Strategy for the Elimination of Cervical Cancer. The results of this analysis show that the risk of HPV shortages has significantly decreased, and global supply is now, under normal circumstances, sufficient to meet global demand. In the long term, HPV supply will be more than sufficient to meet the Global Strategy's goal of 90% of girls fully vaccinated with the HPV vaccine by the age of 15 years. Nonetheless, paying attention to the formulation of policies and carefully managing demand and supply will be required to ensure the long-term sustainability of the HPV vaccine program.

Indexed as

cervical cancerdemand forecasthuman papilloma virussupplyvaccine

Identifiers

PMID38276663
PMCPMC10820532
OpenAlexW4389955177

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.