Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38269394›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in big data2023

Trends of the COVID-19 dynamics in 2022 and 2023 vs. the population age, testing and vaccination levels.

Igor Nesteruk

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in big data, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. General SIR model for visible and hidden epidemic dynamics.Frontiers in artificial intelligence · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Should we ignore SARS-CoV-2 disease?Epidemiology and infection · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Igor NesterukInstitute of Hydromechanics, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Introduction: The population, governments, and researchers show much less interest in the COVID-19 pandemic. However, many questions still need to be answered: why the much less vaccinated African continent has accumulated 15 times less deaths per capita than Europe? or why in 2023 the global value of the case fatality risk is almost twice higher than in 2022 and the UK figure is four times higher than the global one? Methods: The averaged daily numbers of cases Results: Strong correlations between age and Discussion: The presented analysis demonstrates that age is a pivot factor of visible (registered) part of the COVID-19 pandemic dynamics. Much younger Africa has registered less numbers of cases and death per capita due to many unregistered asymptomatic patients. Of great concern is the fact that COVID-19 mortality in 2023 in the UK is still at least 4 times higher than the global value caused by seasonal flu.

Indexed as

case fatality riskCOVID-19 pandemic dynamicsdaily numbers of cases and deaths per capitamathematical modeling of infection diseasesstatistical methods

Identifiers

PMID38269394
PMCPMC10806249

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.