Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38267821›Full record

Trial reportThe Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism2024

Comparisons of Metabolic Measures to Predict T1D vs Detect a Preventive Treatment Effect in High-Risk Individuals.

Emily K Sims, David Cuthbertson, Laura Jacobsen, Heba M Ismail, Brandon M Nathan, Kevan C Herold, Maria J Redondo, Jay Sosenko

Abstract readRandomized Controlled TrialComparative StudyMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Trial report in The Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Endpoints for clinical trials in type 1 diabetes drug development.The lancet. Diabetes & endocrinology · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Emily K SimsDepartment of Pediatrics, Wells Center for Pediatric Research, Pediatric Endocrinology and Diabetology, and the Center for Diabetes and Metabolic Diseases, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN 46202, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4393-954X
David CuthbertsonDepartment of Pediatrics, Pediatrics Epidemiology Center, Morsani College of Medicine, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL 33606, USA.
Laura JacobsenDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Florida College of Medicine, Gainesville, FL 32610, USA.
Heba M IsmailDepartment of Pediatrics, Wells Center for Pediatric Research, Pediatric Endocrinology and Diabetology, and the Center for Diabetes and Metabolic Diseases, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN 46202, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0102-0030
Brandon M NathanDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455, USA.
Kevan C HeroldDivision of Diabetes and Endocrinology, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06520, USA.
Maria J RedondoTexas Children's Hospital, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77030, USA.
Jay SosenkoDepartment of Medicine, Division of Diabetes, Metabolism, and Endocrinology, University of Miami, Miami, FL 33136, USA.

Funding

Revision to the Coordinating Center for Type 1 Diabetes TrialNetU01DK106993 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA · PI JEFFREY P KRISCHER, SAMUEL S WU · 2019 to 2026
$181.3M
Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
NIDDK Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Data Coordinating CenterUC4DK097835 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA · PI KRISCHER, JEFFREY P · 2012 to 2012
$45.0M
NIDDK Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Data Coordinating CenterUC4DK106993 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA · PI KRISCHER, JEFFREY P · 2015 to 2015
$36.6M
Translation CoreP30DK097512 · NIDDK · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI Carmella Evans-Molina · 2015 to 2026
$17.4M
Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Clinical Network HubU01DK103282 · NIDDK · BENAROYA RESEARCH INST AT VIRGINIA MASON · PI CARLA J GREENBAUM, KURT J GRIFFIN · 2014 to 2026
$14.2M
Northwest Clinical Center for Type 1 Diabetes - TrialNetU01DK061034 · NIDDK · BENAROYA RESEARCH INST AT VIRGINIA MASON · PI GREENBAUM, CARLA J · 2001 to 2018
$10.3M
Type I Diabetes Trialnet at StsnfordU01DK061042 · NIDDK · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI WILSON, DARRELL M · 2001 to 2018
$8.5M
UCSF Trialnet: A Phase II Trial of Imatimib in New Onset Type I DiabetesU01DK061010 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI GITELMAN, STEPHEN E · 2001 to 2018
$8.1M
Type 1 Diabetes-A Proposal for Prevention & InterventionU01DK085476 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI MORAN, ANTOINETTE M. · 2009 to 2018
$7.1M
Prediction and Prevention of Type I DiabetesU01DK061058 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI BECKER, DOROTHY J · 2001 to 2018
$6.5M
TrialNet: University of Florida Clinical Center and NetworkU01DK085461 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · PI HALLER, MICHAEL JAMES · 2009 to 2018
$5.9M
Doris Duke Charitable Foundation 2021258John Templeton Foundation 62288National Institute of Allergy and Infectious DiseasesNCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK097512NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK121843NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK121929NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK133881NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061010NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061034NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061042NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061058NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085453NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085461NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085465NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085466NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085476NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085499NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085504NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085509NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK103153NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK103180NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK103266NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK103282NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK106984NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK106993NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK106994NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK107013NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK107014NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK127382NIDDK NIH HHS UC4 DK097835NIDDK NIH HHS UC4 DK106993NIH HHS
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

contextMetabolic measures are frequently used to predict type 1 diabetes (T1D) and to understand effects of disease-modifying therapies.

objectiveCompare metabolic endpoints for their ability to detect preventive treatment effects and predict T1D.

methodsSix-month changes in metabolic endpoints were assessed for (1) detecting treatment effects by comparing placebo and treatment arms from the randomized controlled teplizumab prevention trial, a multicenter clinical trial investigating 14-day intravenous teplizumab infusion and (2) predicting T1D in the TrialNet Pathway to Prevention natural history study. For each metabolic measure, t-Values from t tests for detecting a treatment effect were compared with chi-square values from proportional hazards regression for predicting T1D. Participants in the teplizumab prevention trial and participants in the Pathway to Prevention study selected with the same inclusion criteria used for the teplizumab trial were studied.

resultsSix-month changes in glucose-based endpoints predicted diabetes better than C-peptide-based endpoints, yet the latter were better at detecting a teplizumab effect. Combined measures of glucose and C-peptide were more balanced than measures of glucose alone or C-peptide alone for predicting diabetes and detecting a teplizumab effect.

conclusionThe capacity of a metabolic endpoint to detect a treatment effect does not necessarily correspond to its accuracy for predicting T1D. However, combined glucose and C-peptide endpoints appear to be effective for both predicting diabetes and detecting a response to immunotherapy. These findings suggest that combined glucose and C-peptide endpoints should be incorporated into the design of future T1D prevention trials.

Indexed as

Antibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedBlood GlucoseC-PeptideDiabetes Mellitus, Type 1AdultBiomarkersFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisTreatment OutcomeYoung AdultAntibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedBiomarkersBlood GlucoseC-PeptideteplizumabC-peptideendpointglucoseinsulin secretionpredictionpreventiontrialtype 1 diabetes

Identifiers

PMID38267821
PMCPMC11244203

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.