Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38265978›Full record

ArticlePloS one2024

Projected health and economic effects of the increase in childhood obesity during the COVID-19 pandemic in England: The potential cost of inaction.

Iván Ochoa-Moreno, Ravita Taheem, Kathryn Woods-Townsend, Debbie Chase, Keith M Godfrey, Neena Modi, Mark Hanson

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
11.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Iván Ochoa-MorenoSchool of Human Development and Health, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-7843-9908
Ravita TaheemNIHR Southampton Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-7655-4400
Kathryn Woods-TownsendNIHR Southampton Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom.
Debbie ChaseSouthampton City Council, Civic Centre, Southampton, United Kingdom.
Keith M GodfreyMRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Centre and NIHR Southampton Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-4643-0618
Neena ModiSection of Neonatal Medicine, School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Mark HansonSchool of Human Development and Health, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom.
University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust · GBImperial College London · GBSouthampton City Council · GBUniversity of Southampton · GBWorld Health Organization · CH

Funding

Interdisciplinary Research Network on Early Adversity & Later Life ReversibilityU24AG047867 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI GODFREY, KEITH, MCEWEN, BRUCE S. · 2014 to 2018
$954k
British Heart Foundation SP/F/21/150013NIA NIH HHS U24 AG047867World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe prevalence of overweight and obesity in young children rose sharply during the COVID-19 pandemic. Here we estimate the potential future health and economic effects of these trends in England.

methodsUsing publicly available annual Body Mass Index (BMI) data from 2006-2022, we calculated the increase in overweight/obesity prevalence (BMI ≥85th reference percentile) during the COVID-19 pandemic among children aged 4-5 and 10-11, and variation by deprivation and ethnicity. We projected the impact of child BMI trends on adult health measures to estimate added lifelong medical and social costs.

resultsDuring 2020-2021 there were steep increases in overweight and obesity prevalence in children. By 2022, overweight and obesity prevalence in children aged 4-5 returned to expected levels based on pre-pandemic trends. However, overweight and obesity prevalence in children aged 10-11 persisted and was 4 percentage points (p<0.001) higher than expected, representing almost 56,000 additional children. The increase was twice as high in the most compared with the least deprived areas. The additional lifelong healthcare cost in this cohort will amount to £800 million with a cost to society of £8.7 billion. We did not find an increase in maternal obesity associated with the COVID-19 pandemic, however, prevalence grew faster in the post pandemic period. DISCUSSION: The return of overweight and obesity prevalence to pre-pandemic trends in children aged 4-5 provides a clear policy target for effective intervention to tackle this growing and serious population health concern.

Indexed as

COVID-19Pediatric ObesityAdultChildChild, PreschoolEnglandFemaleHumansOverweightPandemicsPregnancy

Identifiers

PMID38265978
PMCPMC10807834
OpenAlexW4391166329

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.