Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38265198›Full record

ArticleAlzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association2024

Comparison of plasma biomarkers and amyloid PET for predicting memory decline in cognitively unimpaired individuals.

Clifford R Jack, Heather J Wiste, Alicia Algeciras-Schimnich, Stephen D Weigand, Dan J Figdore, Val J Lowe, Prashanthi Vemuri, Jonathan Graff-Radford, Vijay K Ramanan, David S Knopman and 8 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
34citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

34 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. A multiverse analysis of the logical memory test and plasma biomarkers of Alzheimer's disease.Cortex; a journal devoted to the study of the nervous system and behavior · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Association Between the Genetic Risk for Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder and Cognitive Function in Older Age: The MYHAT Population-Based Study.The American journal of geriatric psychiatry : official journal of the American Association for Geriatric Psychiatry · 2026
    Article
  6. Prognostic value of plasma %p-tau217 in cognitively unimpaired older adults.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2026
    Article
  7. Prevalence of high-risk plasma p-tau217 levels and 5-year transition of risk status in 70-year-olds.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2026
    Article
  8. Association of plasma biomarkers with amyloid and tau PET in pre-dementia stages.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2026
    Article
  9. Substituting blood-based biomarkers for imaging measures in Alzheimer's disease studies: implications for sample size and bias.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2026
    Article
  10. Staging Alzheimer's disease through amyloid and tau PET.Brain : a journal of neurology · 2026
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Neurobiology of aging · 2026
    Article
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  14. Article
  15. Article
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  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Clifford R JackDepartment of Radiology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Heather J WisteDepartment of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Alicia Algeciras-SchimnichDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Stephen D WeigandDepartment of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Dan J FigdoreDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Val J LoweDepartment of Nuclear Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Prashanthi VemuriDepartment of Radiology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Jonathan Graff-RadfordDepartment of Neurology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Vijay K RamananDepartment of Neurology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
David S KnopmanDepartment of Neurology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Michelle M MielkeDepartment of Epidemiology and Prevention, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, USA.
Mary M MachuldaDepartment of Psychiatry and Psychology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Julie FieldsDepartment of Psychiatry and Psychology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Christopher G SchwarzDepartment of Radiology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Petrice M CogswellDepartment of Radiology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Matthew L SenjemDepartment of Radiology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Terry M TherneauDepartment of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Ronald C PetersenDepartment of Neurology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.

Funding

SUPPLEMENT TO ALZHEIMERS DISEASE PATIENT REGISTRYU01AG006786 · NIA · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI GRAFF-RADFORD, JONATHAN, JACK, CLIFFORD R. · 1986 to 2023
$49.6M
Investigating Resistance and Resilience Mechanisms in Alzheimer’s DiseaseR01AG056366 · NIA · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI PRASHANTHI VEMURI · 2017 to 2026
$7.0M
Disease pathways in the population determined by amyloid, tau, and neurodegeneration imaging biomarkersR37AG011378 · NIA · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI CLIFFORD R. JACK · 2018 to 2026
$6.8M
Validating the New Criteria for Preclinical Alzheimer's diseaseR01AG041851 · NIA · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI JACK, CLIFFORD R., KNOPMAN, DAVID S · 2012 to 2021
$6.3M
"What is N?" Towards operationalizing neurodegeneration in Alzheimer's and related dementiasRF1AG069052 · NIA · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI GRAFF-RADFORD, JONATHAN, MIELKE, MICHELLE M · 2021 to 2021
$2.4M
NIA NIH HHS R01 AG041851NIA NIH HHS R01 AG056366NIA NIH HHS R01 AG41851NIA NIH HHS R37 AG011378NIA NIH HHS R37 AG11378NIA NIH HHS RF1 AG069052NIA NIH HHS U01 AG006786NIA NIH HHS U01 AG 06786
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe compared the ability of several plasma biomarkers versus amyloid positron emission tomography (PET) to predict rates of memory decline among cognitively unimpaired individuals.

methodsWe studied 645 Mayo Clinic Study of Aging participants. Predictor variables were age, sex, education, apolipoprotein E (APOE) ε4 genotype, amyloid PET, and plasma amyloid beta (Aβ)42/40, phosphorylated tau (p-tau)181, neurofilament light (NfL), glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), and p-tau217. The outcome was a change in a memory composite measure.

resultsAll plasma biomarkers, except NfL, were associated with mean memory decline in models with individual biomarkers. However, amyloid PET and plasma p-tau217, along with age, were key variables independently associated with mean memory decline in models combining all predictors. Confidence intervals were narrow for estimates of population mean prediction, but person-level prediction intervals were wide. DISCUSSION: Plasma p-tau217 and amyloid PET provide useful information about predicting rates of future cognitive decline in cognitively unimpaired individuals at the population mean level, but not at the individual person level.

Indexed as

Alzheimer DiseaseCognitive DysfunctionAmyloid beta-PeptidesBiomarkersHumansMemory DisordersPositron-Emission Tomographytau ProteinsAmyloid beta-PeptidesBiomarkerstau Proteinsamyloid PETcognitive declinecognitive decline and Alzheimer's diseaseplasma biomarkers and Alzheimer's disease

Identifiers

PMID38265198
PMCPMC10984437

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.