Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38264008›Full record

ArticleObesity science & practice2024

EXIST: EXamining rIsk of excesS adiposiTy-Machine learning to predict obesity-related complications.

Alexander Turchin, Fritha J Morrison, Maria Shubina, Ilya Lipkovich, Shraddha Shinde, Nadia N Ahmad, Hong Kan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Obesity science & practice, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Alexander TurchinBrigham and Women's Hospital Boston Massachusetts USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8609-564X
Fritha J MorrisonBrigham and Women's Hospital Boston Massachusetts USA.
Maria ShubinaBrigham and Women's Hospital Boston Massachusetts USA.
Ilya LipkovichEli Lilly and Company Indianapolis Indiana USA.
Shraddha ShindeEli Lilly and Company Indianapolis Indiana USA.
Nadia N AhmadEli Lilly and Company Indianapolis Indiana USA.
Hong KanEli Lilly and Company Indianapolis Indiana USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Obesity is associated with an increased risk of multiple conditions, ranging from heart disease to cancer. However, there are few predictive models for these outcomes that have been developed specifically for people with overweight/obesity. Objective: To develop predictive models for obesity-related complications in patients with overweight and obesity. Methods: Electronic health record data of adults with body mass index 25-80 kg/m Results: Over a median follow-up of 5.6 years, study outcome incidence in the cohort of 433,272 patients ranged from 1.8% for knee replacement to 11.7% for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. Harrell C-index averaged over replicates ranged from 0.702 for liver outcomes to 0.896 for death for RSF, and from 0.694 for liver outcomes to 0.891 for death for Lasso-Cox. The Harrell C-index for parsimonious models ranged from 0.675 for liver outcomes to 0.850 for knee replacement. Conclusions: Predictive modeling can identify patients at high risk of obesity-related complications. Interpretable Cox models achieve results close to those of machine learning methods and could be helpful for population health management and clinical treatment decisions.

Indexed as

machine learningobesityoutcomesrisk prediction model

Identifiers

PMID38264008
PMCPMC10804333

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.