Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38263390›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2024

Extreme fire weather in Chile driven by climate change and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO).

Raúl R Cordero, Sarah Feron, Alessandro Damiani, Jorge Carrasco, Cyrus Karas, Chenghao Wang, Clarisse T Kraamwinkel, Anne Beaulieu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
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  5. Article
  6. Impacts of fire severity and exotic invasion ofFrontiers in plant science · 2026
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Novel wildfire regimes under climate change and human activity: patterns, driving mechanisms and ecological impacts.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025
    Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Raúl R CorderoUniversidad de Santiago de Chile, Av. Bernardo O'Higgins 3363, Santiago, Chile.
Sarah FeronUniversidad de Santiago de Chile, Av. Bernardo O'Higgins 3363, Santiago, Chile. s.c.feron@rug.nl.
Alessandro DamianiCenter for Climate Change Adaptation, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, 305-8506, Japan.
Jorge CarrascoUniversity of Magallanes, Av. Manuel Bulnes 1855, 621-0427, Punta Arenas, Chile.
Cyrus KarasUniversidad de Santiago de Chile, Av. Bernardo O'Higgins 3363, Santiago, Chile.
Chenghao WangSchool of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK, 73072, USA.
Clarisse T KraamwinkelKnowledge Infrastructure, University of Groningen, Wirdumerdijk 34, 8911 CE, Leeuwarden, The Netherlands.
Anne BeaulieuKnowledge Infrastructure, University of Groningen, Wirdumerdijk 34, 8911 CE, Leeuwarden, The Netherlands.

Funding

Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo ACT210046
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A string of fierce fires broke out in Chile in the austral summer 2023, just six years after the record-breaking 2017 fire season. Favored by extreme weather conditions, fire activity has dramatically risen in recent years in this Andean country. A total of 1.7 million ha. burned during the last decade, tripling figures of the prior decade. Six of the seven most destructive fire seasons on record occurred since 2014. Here, we analyze the progression during the last two decades of the weather conditions associated with increased fire risk in Central Chile (30°-39° S). Fire weather conditions (including high temperatures, low humidity, dryness, and strong winds) increase the potential for wildfires, once ignited, to rapidly spread. We show that the concurrence of El Niño and climate-fueled droughts and heatwaves boost the local fire risk and have decisively contributed to the intense fire activity recently seen in Central Chile. Our results also suggest that the tropical eastern Pacific Ocean variability modulates the seasonal fire weather in the country, driving in turn the interannual fire activity. The signature of the warm anomalies in the Niño 1 + 2 region (0°-10° S, 90° W-80° W) is apparent on the burned area records seen in Central Chile in 2017 and 2023.

Identifiers

PMID38263390
PMCPMC10806187

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.