ArticleJournal of medical entomology2024
Two decades of endemic dengue in Bangladesh (2000-2022): trends, seasonality, and impact of temperature and rainfall patterns on transmission dynamics.
Article in Journal of medical entomology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
18 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Battling dengue in a warming world: How climate and urbanization shape transmission in low- and middle-income countries (a rapid review).PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Pooled it
- Epidemiological Characteristics of Dengue Infection in Bangladesh: A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026Pooled it
- Progression of dengue during an outbreak (2024) in Dhaka, Bangladesh: a hospital based longitudinal study.The Lancet regional health. Southeast Asia · 2026Article
- Epidemiological Trends, Public Health Challenges, and Strategic Control Priorities of Dengue in Bangladesh (2000-2024): A Narrative Review.Health science reports · 2026Article
- Climate variability and dengue incidence in southern Ecuador: an ecological analysis in two contrasting climatic settings (2019-2024).BMC infectious diseases · 2026Article
- Barriers and facilitators to dengue prevention strategies in Bangladesh: a scoping review with comparative analysis of other dengue-prone regions.BMC infectious diseases · 2026Article
- Unravelling the dengue surge in South Asia during 2000-2023: pattern, trend, genomics, and key determinants.Epidemiology and infection · 2026Article
- Interplay between flaviviruses and the interferon response: mechanisms of immune evasion and therapeutic implications.Frontiers in pharmacology · 2026Review
- Article
- The reappearance of Chikungunya virus in Bangladesh, 2024.IJID regions · 2025Article
- The 2023 dengue fatality in Bangladesh: Spatial and demographic insights.IJID regions · 2025Article
- Assessing the influencing factors of dengue fever in Chinese mainland based on causal analysis.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Dengue Early Warning System and Outbreak Prediction Tool in Bangladesh Using Interpretable Tree-Based Machine Learning Model.Health science reports · 2025Article
- The 2023 fatal dengue outbreak in Bangladesh highlights a paradigm shift of geographical distribution of cases.Epidemiology and infection · 2025Article
- Time series analysis of dengue incidence and its association with meteorological risk factors in Bangladesh.PloS one · 2025Article
- Bangladesh records persistently increased number of dengue deaths in recent years: Dissecting the shortcomings and means to resolve.IJID regions · 2024Article
- An effective pan-serotype dengue vaccine and enhanced control strategies could help in reducing the severe dengue burden in Bangladesh-A perspective.Frontiers in microbiology · 2024Review
- Simple statistical insights into the COVID-19 data of Saudi Arabia: figures prior to vaccination campaign.F1000Research · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
15 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The objectives of this study were to compare dengue virus (DENV) cases, deaths, case-fatality ratio [CFR], and meteorological parameters between the first and the recent decades of this century (2000-2010 vs. 2011-2022) and to describe the trends, seasonality, and impact of change of temperature and rainfall patterns on transmission dynamics of dengue in Bangladesh. For the period 2000-2022, dengue cases and death data from Bangladesh's Ministry of Health and Family Welfare's website, and meteorological data from the Bangladesh Meteorological Department were analyzed. A Poisson regression model was performed to identify the impact of meteorological parameters on the monthly dengue cases. A forecast of dengue cases was performed using an autoregressive integrated moving average model. Over the past 23 yr, a total of 244,246 dengue cases were reported including 849 deaths (CFR = 0.35%). The mean annual number of dengue cases increased 8 times during the second decade, with 2,216 cases during 2000-2010 vs. 18,321 cases during 2011-2022. The mean annual number of deaths doubled (21 vs. 46), but the overall CFR has decreased by one-third (0.69% vs. 0.23%). Concurrently, the annual mean temperature increased by 0.49 °C, and rainfall decreased by 314 mm with altered precipitation seasonality. Monthly mean temperature (Incidence risk ratio [IRR]: 1.26), first-lagged rainfall (IRR: 1.08), and second-lagged rainfall (IRR: 1.17) were significantly associated with monthly dengue cases. The increased local temperature and changes in rainfall seasonality might have contributed to the increased dengue cases in Bangladesh.
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