Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38253754›Full record

ArticleNature ecology & evolution2024

Transnational conservation to anticipate future plant shifts in Europe.

Yohann Chauvier-Mendes, Laura J Pollock, Peter H Verburg, Dirk N Karger, Loïc Pellissier, Sébastien Lavergne, Niklaus E Zimmermann, Wilfried Thuiller

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature ecology & evolution, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Plants' Contributions to People Shift With Glacier Extinction.Plant-environment interactions (Hoboken, N.J.) · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Looking back on 2024.Nature ecology & evolution · 2025
    Article
  9. Action on ambition.Nature ecology & evolution · 2024
    Article
  10. Futureproofing Europe's forests.Nature ecology & evolution · 2024
    Article
  11. Shifting needs to safeguard diversity.Nature ecology & evolution · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Yohann Chauvier-MendesSwiss Federal Research Institute (WSL), Birmensdorf, Switzerland. yohann.chauvier@wsl.ch.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9399-3192
Laura J PollockDepartment of Biology, McGill University, Montreal, Canada, Quebec.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6004-4027
Peter H VerburgSwiss Federal Research Institute (WSL), Birmensdorf, Switzerland.
Dirk N KargerSwiss Federal Research Institute (WSL), Birmensdorf, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7770-6229
Loïc PellissierSwiss Federal Research Institute (WSL), Birmensdorf, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2289-8259
Sébastien LavergneLaboratoire d'Ecologie Alpine, LECA, CNRS, Univ. Grenoble Alpes, Univ. Savoie Mont Blanc, Grenoble, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8842-7495
Niklaus E ZimmermannSwiss Federal Research Institute (WSL), Birmensdorf, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3099-9604
Wilfried ThuillerLaboratoire d'Ecologie Alpine, LECA, CNRS, Univ. Grenoble Alpes, Univ. Savoie Mont Blanc, Grenoble, France.

Funding

Agence Nationale de la Recherche (French National Research Agency) 16-CE93-004Agence Nationale de la Recherche (French National Research Agency) ANR-16-CE93-004Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (Swiss National Science Foundation) 310030L_170059
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

To meet the COP15 biodiversity framework in the European Union (EU), one target is to protect 30% of its land by 2030 through a resilient transnational conservation network. The European Alps are a key hub of this network hosting some of the most extensive natural areas and biodiversity hotspots in Europe. Here we assess the robustness of the current European reserve network to safeguard the European Alps' flora by 2080 using semi-mechanistic simulations. We first highlight that the current network needs strong readjustments as it does not capture biodiversity patterns as well as our conservation simulations. Overall, we predict a strong shift in conservation need through time along latitudes, and from lower to higher elevations as plants migrate upslope and shrink their distribution. While increasing species, trait and evolutionary diversity, migration could also threaten 70% of the resident flora. In the face of global changes, the future European reserve network will need to ensure strong elevation and latitudinal connections to complementarily protect multifaceted biodiversity beyond national borders.

Indexed as

BiodiversityConservation of Natural ResourcesEuropeEuropean UnionPlants

Identifiers

PMID38253754
PMCPMC10927550

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.