Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38251209›Full record

ArticleTropical medicine and infectious disease2024

The Predicted Potential Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Tuberculosis Epidemic in Tamil Nadu, South India.

Malaisamy Muniyandi, Karikalan Nagarajan, Kavi Mathiyazhagan, Prathiksha Giridharan, Kannan Thiruvengadam, Rajendran Krishnan

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Article in Tropical medicine and infectious disease, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

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1citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

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1 citing paper in PubMed.

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Malaisamy MuniyandiICMR-National Institute for Research in Tuberculosis, Chennai 60031, India.
Karikalan NagarajanICMR-National Institute for Research in Tuberculosis, Chennai 60031, India.
Kavi MathiyazhaganICMR-National Institute for Research in Tuberculosis, Chennai 60031, India.
Prathiksha GiridharanICMR-National Institute for Research in Tuberculosis, Chennai 60031, India.ORCID 0000-0002-9048-8905
Kannan ThiruvengadamICMR-National Institute for Research in Tuberculosis, Chennai 60031, India.ORCID 0000-0002-3758-1094
Rajendran KrishnanICMR-National Institute for Research in Tuberculosis, Chennai 60031, India.ORCID 0000-0002-9317-766X

Funding

TNHSRP NIRT.ESTT-PROJ/2022-23
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo estimate the prevalence and incidence of TB before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in Tamil Nadu, south India.

methodsIn the present study, the effect of COVID-19 epidemiology on the TB epidemic was assessed by the SEIR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered), a compartmental epidemiological model. The model input parameters on compartments of TB and incidence of COVID-19 were collected from the published literature. Based on the data collected, point prevalence and incidence of TB per 100,000 population is calculated with and without COVID-19. A prediction was conducted up to 2025, trend analysis was performed, and a trend chi-square test and chi-square test of independence were used to test the difference between the prevalence with and without COVID-19. R software 2000 (R 4.0.0) was used for analysis.

resultsThe TB prevalence without and with COVID-19 decreases from 289 in 2020 to 271 in 2025 and from 289 in 2020 to 269 in 2025, respectively. Similarly, the incidence of TB was decreasing from 144 in 2020 to 135 in 2025 without COVID-19 and 143 in 2020 to 134 in 2025 with COVID-19. Though the TB burden is decreasing over the years, the trend was not statistically significant (

conclusionThe results of our study shows that there was an annual decline of around 2% from 2020 to 2025 in the trend of the prevalence and incidence of TB with and without COVID-19. Overall, there is a reduction, but it was not significant, and there is no significant effect of COVID-19 on TB in Tamil Nadu.

Indexed as

COVID-19incidencemathematical modellingprevalenceTamil Nadutuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID38251209
PMCPMC10821053

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.