Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38248537›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2024

United States Long-Term Trends in Adult BMI (1959-2018): Unraveling the Roots of the Obesity Epidemic.

Julia Banas, Acree McDowell Cook, Karina Raygoza-Cortez, Daniel Davila, Melinda L Irwin, Leah M Ferrucci, Debbie L Humphries

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. GLP-1 Receptor Agonists and Weight Loss: A Critical Review of Mechanisms.Obesity reviews : an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity · 2026
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Association between sleep inertia and cognitive performance among older adults in the Wisconsin Sleep Cohort study.Journal of clinical sleep medicine : JCSM : official publication of the American Academy of Sleep Medicine · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Low- or No-Energy Sweeteners and Body Weight Management: Dissecting a "Minor" Effect.Obesity reviews : an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity · 2025
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Observational
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Julia BanasYale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06510, USA.
Acree McDowell CookYale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06510, USA.
Karina Raygoza-CortezYale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06510, USA.
Daniel DavilaYale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06510, USA.
Melinda L IrwinYale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06510, USA.
Leah M FerrucciYale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06510, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9488-7586
Debbie L HumphriesYale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06510, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5979-3717

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The escalating rates of obesity since the 1950s poses a critical public health challenge across all age groups in the United States. While numerous studies have examined cross-sectional disparities across racial, ethnic, and socioeconomic groups, there has been limited research on long-term trends. To address this gap, we analyzed average adult body mass index (BMI) trends from 1959 to 2018, using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) and the National Health Examination Survey (NHES). Employing time series analysis, we evaluated BMI trends across income, education, and race/ethnicity. The results revealed a consistent upward trajectory in average BMI across all groups over the six-decade period, with no significant differences by income or education levels among high school graduates. However, individuals with less than a high school education displayed a more gradual increase in BMI. Racial disparities were also evident, with Black adults showing higher BMI growth rates compared to White adults, while Hispanic and other racial groups experienced slower increases. These findings underscore the need for systemic interventions to address the ongoing obesity epidemic, emphasizing the importance of research to identify trends over time and a system-thinking approach to inform effective population-level interventions and policy decisions.

Indexed as

EpidemicsAdultBody Mass IndexCross-Sectional StudiesHumansNutrition SurveysObesityUnited StatesBMIeducational disparitiesobesityracial disparitiessocioeconomic disparitiessystem-thinking approach

Identifiers

PMID38248537
PMCPMC10815706

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.