Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38246986›Full record

ArticleGlobal health research and policy2024

Assessing the impact of comorbid type 2 diabetes mellitus on the disease burden of chronic hepatitis B virus infection and its complications in China from 2006 to 2030: a modeling study.

Jinzhao Xie, Xu Wang, Xinran Wang, Jinghua Li, Yusheng Jie, Yuantao Hao, Jing Gu

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Article in Global health research and policy, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
2.7field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Jinzhao XieDepartment of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Xu WangDepartment of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Xinran WangDepartment of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Jinghua LiDepartment of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Yusheng JieDepartment of Infectious Diseases, The Third Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Yuantao HaoDepartment of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Jing GuDepartment of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China. gujing5@mail.sysu.edu.cn.
Sun Yat-sen University · CNPeking University · CNThird Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University · CN

Funding

National Major Science and Technology Projects of China 2018ZX10715004National Natural Science Foundation of China 71774178Science and Technology Planning Project of Guangdong Province 2017A020212006
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChina bears a high burden of both hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). T2DM accelerates the progression of liver disease among individuals infected with HBV. This study aims to assess the excess disease burden caused by comorbid T2DM among HBV-infected individuals in China.

methodsWe estimated the disease burden of HBV and its complications in China from 2006 to 2030 using individual-based Markov models. The baseline population consisted of 93 million HBV-infected individuals derived from the 2006 National Serological Epidemiological Survey. We developed two models: one incorporated the impact of T2DM on the disease progression of HBV infection, while the other did not consider the impact of T2DM. By comparing the outcomes between these two models, we estimated the excess disease burden attributable to comorbid T2DM among HBV-infected individuals.

resultsThe incidence of severe HBV complications, including cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and liver-related deaths, exhibited an increasing trend from 2006 to 2030 among the Chinese HBV-infected population. Comorbid T2DM increased the annual incidence and cumulative cases of severe HBV complications. From 2006 to 2022, comorbid T2DM caused 791,000 (11.41%), 244,000 (9.27%), 377,000 (8.78%), and 796,000 (12.19%) excess cases of compensated cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis, HCC, and liver-related deaths, respectively. From 2023 to 2030, comorbid T2DM is projected to result in an 8.69% excess in severe HBV complications and an 8.95% increase in liver-related deaths. Among individuals aged 60 and older at baseline, comorbid T2DM led to a 21.68% excess in severe HBV complications and a 28.70% increase in liver-related deaths from 2006 to 2022, with projections indicating a further 20.76% increase in severe HBV complications and an 18.31% rise in liver-related deaths over the next seven years.

conclusionsComorbid T2DM imposes a substantial disease burden on individuals with HBV infection in China. Healthcare providers and health policymakers should develop and implement tailored strategies for the effective management and control of T2DM in individuals with HBV infection.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, HepatocellularDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Hepatitis BHepatitis B, ChronicLiver NeoplasmsAgedChinaCost of IllnessHepatitis B virusHumansLiver CirrhosisMiddle AgedChinaComorbidityDiabetes mellitusDisease burdenHepatitis B virus infectionMarkov

Identifiers

PMID38246986
PMCPMC10801935
OpenAlexW4391076623

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.