Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38245662›Full record

ArticleBritish journal of cancer2024

Predicting 5-year recurrence risk in colorectal cancer: development and validation of a histology-based deep learning approach.

Han Xiao, Zongpeng Weng, Kaiyu Sun, Jingxian Shen, Jie Lin, Shuling Chen, Bin Li, Yiyu Shi, Ming Kuang, Xinming Song and 2 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in British journal of cancer, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
4.2field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

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  5. KRASCellular & molecular biology letters · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Han Xiao *Department of Medical Ultrasonics, Institute of Diagnostic and Interventional Ultrasound, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Zongpeng Weng *Clinical Trials Unit, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Kaiyu SunDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Jingxian ShenDepartment of Medical Imaging, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in Southern China, Collaborative Innovation Center for Cancer Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0002-9233-2576
Jie LinDepartment of Liver and Pancreatobiliary Surgery, Shunde Hospital of Southern Medical University, Shunde, China.
Shuling ChenDepartment of Medical Ultrasonics, Institute of Diagnostic and Interventional Ultrasound, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Bin LiClinical Trials Unit, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Yiyu ShiUniversity of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, 46556, USA.
Ming KuangCenter of Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0002-7397-5779
Xinming SongDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China. songxm@mail.sysu.edu.cn.
Weixiang WengDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China. wengwx3@mail2.sysu.edu.cn.
Sui PengClinical Trials Unit, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China. pengsui@mail.sysu.edu.cn.ORCID 0000-0002-7399-2579
Sun Yat-sen University · CNThe First People's Hospital of Shunde · CNUniversity of Notre Dame · US

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 82203642National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 82270557National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 82272942Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province (Guangdong Natural Science Foundation) 2021A1515010252
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccurate estimation of the long-term risk of recurrence in patients with non-metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC) is crucial for clinical management. Histology-based deep learning is expected to provide more abundant information for risk stratification.

methodsWe developed and validated a weakly supervised deep-learning model for predicting 5-year relapse-free survival (RFS) to stratify patients with different risks based on histological images from three hospitals of 614 cases with non-metastatic CRC. A deep prognostic factor (DL-RRS) was established to stratify patients into high and low-risk group. The areas under the curve (AUCs) were calculated to evaluate the performances of models.

resultsOur proposed model achieves the AUCs of 0.833 (95% CI: 0.736-0.905) and 0.715 (95% CI: 0.647-0.776) on validation cohort and external test cohort, respectively. The 5-year RFS rate was 45.7% for high DL-RRS patients, and 82.5% for low DL-RRS patients respectively in the external test cohort (HR: 3.89, 95% CI: 2.51-6.03, P < 0.001). Adjuvant chemotherapy was associated with improved RFS in Stage II patients with high DL-RRS (HR: 0.15, 95% CI: 0.06-0.38, P < 0.001).

conclusionsDL-RRS has a good predictive performance of 5-year recurrence risk in CRC, and will better serve the clinical decision-making.

Indexed as

Colorectal NeoplasmsDeep LearningHumansNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalPrognosisRetrospective StudiesRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID38245662
PMCPMC10951272
OpenAlexW4391046312

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.