Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38245500›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Shifting patterns of dengue three years after Zika virus emergence in Brazil.

Francesco Pinotti, Marta Giovanetti, Maricelia Maia de Lima, Erenilde Marques de Cerqueira, Luiz C J Alcantara, Sunetra Gupta, Mario Recker, José Lourenço

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Human T Cell Responses to Flavivirus Vaccines.European journal of immunology · 2025
    Review
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Francesco PinottiDepartment of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom. francesco.pinotti@biology.ox.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0003-1953-2106
Marta GiovanettiLaboratório de Flavivírus, Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-5849-7326
Maricelia Maia de LimaUniversidade Estadual de Feira de Santana, Feira de Santana, Bahia, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-2320-4340
Erenilde Marques de CerqueiraUniversidade Estadual de Feira de Santana, Feira de Santana, Bahia, Brazil.
Luiz C J AlcantaraLaboratório de Flavivírus, Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Sunetra GuptaDepartment of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-9775-4006
Mario ReckerCentre for Ecology and Conservation, University of Exeter, Penryn, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-9489-1315
José LourençoCatólica Biomedical Research, Católica Medical School, Universidade Católica Portuguesa, Lisbon, Portugal.

Funding

Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BB/S011269/1Human Frontier Science Program (HFSP) RGP018/2023
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In 2015, the Zika virus (ZIKV) emerged in Brazil, leading to widespread outbreaks in Latin America. Following this, many countries in these regions reported a significant drop in the circulation of dengue virus (DENV), which resurged in 2018-2019. We examine age-specific incidence data to investigate changes in DENV epidemiology before and after the emergence of ZIKV. We observe that incidence of DENV was concentrated in younger individuals during resurgence compared to 2013-2015. This trend was more pronounced in Brazilian states that had experienced larger ZIKV outbreaks. Using a mathematical model, we show that ZIKV-induced cross-protection alone, often invoked to explain DENV decline across Latin America, cannot explain the observed age-shift without also assuming some form of disease enhancement. Our results suggest that a sudden accumulation of population-level immunity to ZIKV could suppress DENV and reduce the mean age of DENV incidence via both protective and disease-enhancing interactions.

Indexed as

DengueDengue VirusZika VirusZika Virus InfectionAntibodies, ViralBrazilCross ReactionsHumansAntibodies, Viral

Identifiers

PMID38245500
PMCPMC10799945

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.