Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38242938›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2024

Mapping the diversity of land uses following deforestation across Africa.

Robert N Masolele, Diego Marcos, Veronique De Sy, Itohan-Osa Abu, Jan Verbesselt, Johannes Reiche, Martin Herold

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
21.8field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 77 citations in OpenAlex.

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  7. Commodity frontiers expand more slowly into tropical forests where forest smallholders are present.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  8. Underrepresentation of bats in Africa's protected areas.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2026
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Robert N MasoleleLaboratory of Geo-Information Science and Remote Sensing, Wageningen University and Research, Droevendaalsesteeg 3, 6708, Wageningen, PB, The Netherlands. robert.masolele@wur.nl.
Diego Marcos *Inria, University of Montpellier, Montpellier, France.
Veronique De Sy *Laboratory of Geo-Information Science and Remote Sensing, Wageningen University and Research, Droevendaalsesteeg 3, 6708, Wageningen, PB, The Netherlands.
Itohan-Osa AbuDepartment of Remote Sensing, Julius-Maximilians-University, Oswald-külpe-Weg, 97074, Würzburg, Bayern, Germany.
Jan VerbesseltLaboratory of Geo-Information Science and Remote Sensing, Wageningen University and Research, Droevendaalsesteeg 3, 6708, Wageningen, PB, The Netherlands.
Johannes ReicheLaboratory of Geo-Information Science and Remote Sensing, Wageningen University and Research, Droevendaalsesteeg 3, 6708, Wageningen, PB, The Netherlands.
Martin Herold *GFZ, German GeoResearch Center, Potsdam, Germany.
Wageningen University & Research · NLBayer (Germany) · DEGFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences · DEUniversité de Montpellier · FR

Funding

European Commission Horizon Europe project "Open-Earth- Monitor" 101059548International Climate Initiative (IKI) of the German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation, Building, and Nuclear Safety (BMUB) 20_III_108
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

African forest are increasingly in decline as a result of land-use conversion due to human activities. However, a consistent and detailed characterization and mapping of land-use change that results in forest loss is not available at the spatial-temporal resolution and thematic levels suitable for decision-making at the local and regional scales; so far they have only been provided on coarser scales and restricted to humid forests. Here we present the first high-resolution (5 m) and continental-scale mapping of land use following deforestation in Africa, which covers an estimated 13.85% of the global forest area, including humid and dry forests. We use reference data for 15 different land-use types from 30 countries and implement an active learning framework to train a deep learning model for predicting land-use following deforestation with an F1-score of [Formula: see text] for the whole of Africa. Our results show that the causes of forest loss vary by region. In general, small-scale cropland is the dominant driver of forest loss in Africa, with hotspots in Madagascar and DRC. In addition, commodity crops such as cacao, oil palm, and rubber are the dominant drivers of forest loss in the humid forests of western and central Africa, forming an "arc of commodity crops" in that region. At the same time, the hotspots for cashew are found to increasingly dominate in the dry forests of both western and south-eastern Africa, while larger hotspots for large-scale croplands were found in Nigeria and Zambia. The increased expansion of cacao, cashew, oil palm, rubber, and large-scale croplands observed in humid and dry forests of western and south-eastern Africa suggests they are vulnerable to future land-use changes by commodity crops, thus creating challenges for achieving the zero deforestation supply chains, support REDD+ initiatives, and towards sustainable development goals.

Indexed as

Conservation of Natural ResourcesRubberAfrica, EasternAgricultureForestsHumansSouth AfricaRubber

Identifiers

PMID38242938
PMCPMC10798993
OpenAlexW4391034041

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.