Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38233406›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2024

Artificial intelligence predicts normal summer monsoon rainfall for India in 2023.

Udit Narang, Kushal Juneja, Pankaj Upadhyaya, Popat Salunke, Tanmoy Chakraborty, Swadhin Kumar Behera, Saroj Kanta Mishra, Akhil Dev Suresh

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Udit NarangDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, Indraprastha Institute of Information Technology Delhi, Delhi, India.
Kushal JunejaDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, Indraprastha Institute of Information Technology Delhi, Delhi, India.
Pankaj UpadhyayaCentre for Atmospheric Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, Delhi, India.
Popat SalunkeCenter for Global Change Science, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.
Tanmoy ChakrabortyDepartment of Electrical Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, Delhi, India. tanchak@iitd.ac.in.
Swadhin Kumar BeheraApplication Laboratory, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Japan.
Saroj Kanta MishraCentre for Atmospheric Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, Delhi, India. skm@iitd.ac.in.
Akhil Dev SureshCentre for Atmospheric Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, Delhi, India.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Inaccuracy in the All Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall (AISMR) forecast has major repercussions for India's economy and people's daily lives. Improving the accuracy of AISMR forecasts remains a challenge. An attempt is made here to address this problem by taking advantage of recent advances in machine learning techniques. The data-driven models trained with historical AISMR data, the Niño3.4 index, and categorical Indian Ocean Dipole values outperform the traditional physical models, and the best-performing model predicts that the 2023 AISMR will be roughly 790 mm, which is typical of a normal monsoon year.

Identifiers

PMID38233406
PMCPMC10794699

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.