Exploring the effects of missense mutations on protein thermodynamics through structure-based approaches: findings from the CAGI6 challenges.

Missense mutations are known contributors to diverse genetic disorders, due to their subtle, single amino acid changes imparted on the resultant protein. Because of this, understanding the impact of these mutations on protein stability and function is crucial for unravelling disease mechanisms and developing targeted therapies. The Critical Assessment of Genome Interpretation (CAGI) provides a valuable platform for benchmarking state-of-the-art computational methods in predicting the impact of disease-related mutations on protein thermodynamics. Here we report the performance of our comprehensive platform of structure-based computational approaches to evaluate mutations impacting protein structure and function on 3 challenges from CAGI6: Calmodulin, MAPK1 and MAPK3. Our stability predictors have achieved correlations of up to 0.74 and AUCs of 1 when predicting changes in ΔΔG for MAPK1 and MAPK3, respectively, and AUC of up to 0.75 in the Calmodulin challenge. Overall, our study highlights the importance of structure-based approaches in understanding the effects of missense mutations on protein thermodynamics. The results obtained from the CAGI6 challenges contribute to the ongoing efforts to enhance our understanding of disease mechanisms and facilitate the development of personalised medicine approaches.