Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38218885›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Personalising intravenous to oral antibiotic switch decision making through fair interpretable machine learning.

William J Bolton, Richard Wilson, Mark Gilchrist, Pantelis Georgiou, Alison Holmes, Timothy M Rawson

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
8.3field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 29 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

William J BoltonCentre for Antimicrobial Optimisation, Imperial College London, London, UK. william.bolton@imperial.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0003-3969-4874
Richard WilsonCentre for Antimicrobial Optimisation, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Mark GilchristCentre for Antimicrobial Optimisation, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Pantelis GeorgiouCentre for Antimicrobial Optimisation, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Alison HolmesCentre for Antimicrobial Optimisation, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Timothy M RawsonCentre for Antimicrobial Optimisation, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-2630-9722
National Institute for Health Research · GBUniversity of Liverpool · GBImperial College Healthcare NHS Trust · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) and healthcare associated infections pose a significant threat globally. One key prevention strategy is to follow antimicrobial stewardship practices, in particular, to maximise targeted oral therapy and reduce the use of indwelling vascular devices for intravenous (IV) administration. Appreciating when an individual patient can switch from IV to oral antibiotic treatment is often non-trivial and not standardised. To tackle this problem we created a machine learning model to predict when a patient could switch based on routinely collected clinical parameters. 10,362 unique intensive care unit stays were extracted and two informative feature sets identified. Our best model achieved a mean AUROC of 0.80 (SD 0.01) on the hold-out set while not being biased to individuals protected characteristics. Interpretability methodologies were employed to create clinically useful visual explanations. In summary, our model provides individualised, fair, and interpretable predictions for when a patient could switch from IV-to-oral antibiotic treatment. Prospectively evaluation of safety and efficacy is needed before such technology can be applied clinically.

Indexed as

Anti-Bacterial AgentsMachine LearningAdministration, IntravenousAdministration, OralDecision MakingHumansAnti-Bacterial Agents

Identifiers

PMID38218885
PMCPMC10787786
OpenAlexW4390839094

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.