Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38212685›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2024

Spatiotemporal dynamics and influencing factors of human brucellosis in Mainland China from 2005-2021.

Meng Zhang, Xinrui Chen, Qingqing Bu, Bo Tan, Tong Yang, Liyuan Qing, Yunna Wang, Dan Deng

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
10.8field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Meng Zhang *Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Chongqing Medical University of Public Health, Chongqing, 500000, China.
Xinrui Chen *Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Chongqing Medical University of Public Health, Chongqing, 500000, China.
Qingqing BuDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Chongqing Medical University of Public Health, Chongqing, 500000, China.
Bo TanDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Chongqing Medical University of Public Health, Chongqing, 500000, China.
Tong YangDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Chongqing Medical University of Public Health, Chongqing, 500000, China.
Liyuan QingDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Chongqing Medical University of Public Health, Chongqing, 500000, China.
Yunna WangDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Chongqing Medical University of Public Health, Chongqing, 500000, China.
Dan DengDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Chongqing Medical University of Public Health, Chongqing, 500000, China. 100079@cqmu.edu.cn.
Chongqing Public Health Medical Center · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBrucellosis poses a significant public health concern. This study explores the spatial and temporal dynamic evolution of human brucellosis in China and analyses the spatial heterogeneity of the influencing factors related to the incidence of human brucellosis at the provincial level.

methodsThe Join-point model, centre of gravity migration model and spatial autocorrelation analysis were employed to evaluate potential changes in the spatial and temporal distribution of human brucellosis in mainland China from 2005 to 2021. Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR), and Multi-scale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR) models were constructed to analyze the spatial and temporal correlation between the incidence rate of human brucellosis and meteorological and social factors.

resultsFrom 2005 to 2021, human brucellosis in China showed a consistent upward trend. The incidence rate rose more rapidly in South, Central, and Southwest China, leading to a shift in the center of gravity from the North to the Southwest, as illustrated in the migration trajectory diagram. Strong spatial aggregation was observed. The MGWR model outperformed others. Spatio-temporal plots indicated that lower mean annual temperatures and increased beef, mutton, and milk production significantly correlated with higher brucellosis incidence. Cities like Guangxi and Guangdong were more affected by low temperatures, while Xinjiang and Tibet were influenced more by beef and milk production. Inner Mongolia and Heilongjiang were more affected by mutton production. Importantly, an increase in regional GDP and health expenditure exerted a notable protective effect against human brucellosis incidence.

conclusionsHuman brucellosis remains a pervasive challenge. Meteorological and social factors significantly influence its incidence in a spatiotemporally specific manner. Tailored prevention strategies should be region-specific, providing valuable insights for effective brucellosis control measures.

Indexed as

BrucellosisAnimalsCattleChinaCitiesHumansIncidenceSpatial AnalysisSpatial RegressionSpatio-Temporal AnalysisBrucellosisControl policyMedical meteorologyMGWRPreventionSpatial epidemiology

Identifiers

PMID38212685
PMCPMC10785479
OpenAlexW4390740396

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.