Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38199805›Full record

ArticleGut2024

Serum ferritin levels can predict long-term outcomes in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease.

Angelo Armandi, Tiziana Sanavia, Ramy Younes, Gian Paolo Caviglia, Chiara Rosso, Olivier Govaere, Antonio Liguori, Paolo Francione, Rocìo Gallego-Duràn, Javier Ampuero and 26 more

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Gut, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. IL-1 family of cytokines in gastrointestinal and liver disorders.Nature reviews. Gastroenterology & hepatology · 2026
    Review
  5. Recent advances in biomarkers for cardiac fibrosis.Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine · 2026
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Iron and Liver Disease.Advances in experimental medicine and biology · 2025
    Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

36 authors.

Angelo Armandi *Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, Turin, Italy angelo.armandi@unito.it.ORCID 0000-0002-7245-4445
Tiziana Sanavia *Computational Biomedicine Unit, Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, Turin, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-3288-0631
Ramy YounesBoehringer Ingelheim International GmbH, Ingelheim, Germany.
Gian Paolo CavigliaDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, Turin, Italy.
Chiara RossoDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, Turin, Italy.
Olivier GovaereTranslational & Clinical Research Institute, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Antonio LiguoriInternal Medicine and Liver Transplant Unit, Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
Paolo FrancioneUnit of Medicine and Metabolic Disease, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy.
Rocìo Gallego-DurànUCM Digestive Diseases and SeLiver Group, Virgen del Rocio University Hospital, Institute of Biomedicine of Seville (HUVR/CSIC/US), University of Seville, Seville, Spain.
Javier AmpueroUCM Digestive Diseases and SeLiver Group, Virgen del Rocio University Hospital, Institute of Biomedicine of Seville (HUVR/CSIC/US), University of Seville, Seville, Spain.
Grazia PennisiSezione di Gastroenterologia, PROMISE, Università di Palermo, Palermo, Italy.
Rocio AllerHospital Clínico de Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain.
Dina TiniakosTranslational & Clinical Research Institute, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Alastair BurtTranslational & Clinical Research Institute, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Ezio DavidDepartment of Pathology, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Città della Salute e della Scienza, University of Turin, Turin, Italy.
Fabio VecchioDipartimento Universitario Medicina e Chirurgia Traslazionale, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Area Anatomia Patologica. Fondazione Policlinico Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
Marco MaggioniDepartment of Pathology, Ca' Granda IRCCS Foundation, Milan, Italy.
Daniela CabibiPathology Institute, PROMISE, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy.
Duncan McLeodDepartment of Anatomical Pathology, Institute of Clinical Pathology and Medical Research (ICPMR), Westmead Hospital, Westmead, New South Wales, Australia.
Maria Jesus ParejaPathology Unit, Hospital Universitario de Valme, Seville, Spain.
Marco Y W ZakiTranslational & Clinical Research Institute, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Antonio GriecoDipartimento Universitario Medicina e Chirurgia Traslazionale, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Area Medicina Interna, Gastroenterologia e Oncologia Medica, Fondazione Policlinico A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
Per StålDivision of Hepatology, Department of Upper GI Diseases, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.
Stergios KechagiasDepartment of Health, Medicine and Caring Sciences, Linköping University, Linkoping, Sweden.
Anna Ludovica FracanzaniUnit of Medicine and Metabolic Disease, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy.
Luca ValentiDepartment of Pathophysiology and Transplantation, Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-8909-0345
Luca MieleInternal Medicine and Liver Transplant Unit, Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-3464-0068
Piero FariselliComputational Biomedicine Unit, Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, Turin, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-1811-4762
Mohammed EslamStorr Liver Centre, Westmead Institute for Medical Research, Westmead Hospital, University of Sydney, Westmead, New South Wales, Australia.
Salvatore PettaSezione di Gastroenterologia, PROMISE, Università di Palermo, Palermo, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-0822-9673
Hannes HagströmDivision of Hepatology, Department of Upper GI Diseases, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-8474-1759
Jacob GeorgeStorr Liver Centre, Westmead Institute for Medical Research, Westmead Hospital, University of Sydney, Westmead, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-8421-5476
Jörn M SchattenbergMetabolic Liver Disease Research Program, I. Department of Internal Medicine, University Medical Center of the Johannes Gutenberg University, Mainz, Germany.
Manuel Romero-GómezUCM Digestive Diseases and SeLiver Group, Virgen del Rocio University Hospital, Institute of Biomedicine of Seville (HUVR/CSIC/US), University of Seville, Seville, Spain.ORCID 0000-0001-8494-8947
Quentin Mark AnsteeTranslational & Clinical Research Institute, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Elisabetta BugianesiDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, Turin, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-0502-4381

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveHyperferritinaemia is associated with liver fibrosis severity in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), but the longitudinal implications have not been thoroughly investigated. We assessed the role of serum ferritin in predicting long-term outcomes or death.

designWe evaluated the relationship between baseline serum ferritin and longitudinal events in a multicentre cohort of 1342 patients. Four survival models considering ferritin with confounders or non-invasive scoring systems were applied with repeated five-fold cross-validation schema. Prediction performance was evaluated in terms of Harrell's C-index and its improvement by including ferritin as a covariate.

resultsMedian follow-up time was 96 months. Liver-related events occurred in 7.7%, hepatocellular carcinoma in 1.9%, cardiovascular events in 10.9%, extrahepatic cancers in 8.3% and all-cause mortality in 5.8%. Hyperferritinaemia was associated with a 50% increased risk of liver-related events and 27% of all-cause mortality. A stepwise increase in baseline ferritin thresholds was associated with a statistical increase in C-index, ranging between 0.02 (lasso-penalised Cox regression) and 0.03 (ridge-penalised Cox regression); the risk of developing liver-related events mainly increased from threshold 215.5 µg/L (median HR=1.71 and C-index=0.71) and the risk of overall mortality from threshold 272 µg/L (median HR=1.49 and C-index=0.70). The inclusion of serum ferritin thresholds (215.5 µg/L and 272 µg/L) in predictive models increased the performance of Fibrosis-4 and Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Fibrosis Score in the longitudinal risk assessment of liver-related events (C-indices>0.71) and overall mortality (C-indices>0.65).

conclusionsThis study supports the potential use of serum ferritin values for predicting the long-term prognosis of patients with MASLD.

Indexed as

Liver NeoplasmsMetabolic DiseasesNon-alcoholic Fatty Liver DiseaseFerritinsFibrosisHumansLiver CirrhosisFerritinsFIBROSISNONALCOHOLIC STEATOHEPATITIS

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.