Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38196339›Full record

ReviewKorean circulation journal2024

Estimation of Supply and Demand for Cardiologists in Korea.

Mira Kim, Kyunghee Chae, Ju Mee Wang, Arum Choi, Jang-Whan Bae, Keon-Woong Moon, Sukil Kim

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Korean circulation journal, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Mira Kim *Department of Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5286-6012
Kyunghee Chae *Department of Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2030-0847
Ju Mee WangThe Korean Cardiac Research Foundation, Seoul, Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5125-5949
Arum ChoiDepartment of Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5532-0103
Jang-Whan BaeDepartment of Internal Medicine, Chungbuk National University Hospital, Chungbuk National University, College of Medicine, Cheongju, Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1362-9804
Keon-Woong MoonDepartment of Internal Medicine, St. Vincent's Hospital, The Catholic University of Korea, Suwon, Korea. cardiomoon@gmail.com.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2726-3209
Sukil KimDepartment of Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea. sikimmd@catholic.ac.kr.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9730-9845

Funding

Korean Cardiac Research Foundation 2022
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectivesThe objective of this study was to estimate the supply and demand for cardiologists in Korea and provide evidence for healthcare policy to ensure a stable and adequate workforce for optimal cardiovascular disease management.

methodsPast trends of inflow and outflow of cardiologists were used to make crude projections, which were then adjusted based on demands of services to obtain final projections. Inflow of cardiologists was estimated using second-order polynomial regression and demand for cardiology care was estimated using linear regression.

resultsThere were 1,139 active cardiologists who were under the age of 65 in clinical practice in Korea. The estimated number of cardiologists from 2022 to 2040 showed that the number of cardiologists would peak at 1,344 in 2032 and gradually decrease thereafter. We also estimated an increase of 947,811 cases of heart-related procedures annually from 2023 to 2032. The number of heart-related procedures per cardiologist would increase 1.4 times from 12,964 in 2023 to 17,862 in 2032. The estimated number of emergency patients per cardiologist under 50 years old would almost double from 544 in 2022 to 987 in 2032.

conclusionsWe expect significant shortage of cardiologists in Korea within the next 10 years. The number of emergency patients per cardiologist will increase by nearly 50%, leading to high individual workload for cardiologists. To prevent this imbalance between supply and demand, an organized and collective approach by the specialty of cardiology is imperative to produce a balanced workforce.

Indexed as

CardiologistHealth Services Needs and DemandWorkforce

Identifiers

PMID38196339
PMCPMC10784614

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.