Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38195644›Full record

ArticleThorax2024

Radiomics analysis to predict pulmonary nodule malignancy using machine learning approaches.

Matthew T Warkentin, Hamad Al-Sawaihey, Stephen Lam, Geoffrey Liu, Brenda Diergaarde, Jian-Min Yuan, David O Wilson, Sukhinder Atkar-Khattra, Benjamin Grant, Yonathan Brhane and 5 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Thorax, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 69 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
69citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
27.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

69 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 69 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Risk prediction for lung cancer screening: a systematic review and meta-regression.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2026
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9 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Matthew T WarkentinProsserman Centre for Population Health Research, Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute, Sinai Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-8730-3511
Hamad Al-SawaiheyProsserman Centre for Population Health Research, Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute, Sinai Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Stephen LamDepartment of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Geoffrey LiuDalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Brenda DiergaardeDepartment of Human Genetics, University of Pittsburgh School of Public Health, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
Jian-Min YuanCancer Epidemiology and Prevention Program, UPMC Hillman Cancer Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
David O WilsonDepartment of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2635-7468
Sukhinder Atkar-KhattraDepartment of Integrative Oncology, British Columbia Cancer Research Institute, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Benjamin GrantDepartment of Medical Oncology and Hematology, Princess Margaret Hospital Cancer Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Yonathan BrhaneProsserman Centre for Population Health Research, Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute, Sinai Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Elham Khodayari-MoezProsserman Centre for Population Health Research, Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute, Sinai Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Kiera R MurisonProsserman Centre for Population Health Research, Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute, Sinai Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Martin C TammemagiCancer Control and Evidence Integration, Cancer Care Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Kieran R CampbellProsserman Centre for Population Health Research, Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute, Sinai Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Rayjean J HungProsserman Centre for Population Health Research, Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute, Sinai Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada Rayjean.Hung@lunenfeld.ca.ORCID 0000-0002-4486-7496
Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute · CAUniversity of Toronto · CAUniversity of Pittsburgh · USCancer Care Ontario · CAPrincess Margaret Cancer Centre · CAUniversity of British Columbia · CA

Funding

VECTOR CORE FACILITYP30CA047904 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI JOHN C. BYRD · 1988 to 2026
$158.0M
Translating Molecular and Clinical Data to Population Lung Cancer Risk AssessmentU19CA203654 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF NEW MEXICO HEALTH SCIS CTR · PI Christopher I. Amos · 2017 to 2026
$23.7M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA047904NCI NIH HHS U19 CA203654
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLow-dose CT screening can reduce lung cancer-related mortality. However, most screen-detected pulmonary abnormalities do not develop into cancer and it often remains challenging to identify malignant nodules, particularly among indeterminate nodules. We aimed to develop and assess prediction models based on radiological features to discriminate between benign and malignant pulmonary lesions detected on a baseline screen.

methodsUsing four international lung cancer screening studies, we extracted 2060 radiomic features for each of 16 797 nodules (513 malignant) among 6865 participants. After filtering out low-quality radiomic features, 642 radiomic and 9 epidemiological features remained for model development. We used cross-validation and grid search to assess three machine learning (ML) models (eXtreme Gradient Boosted Trees, random forest, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)) for their ability to accurately predict risk of malignancy for pulmonary nodules. We report model performance based on the area under the curve (AUC) and calibration metrics in the held-out test set.

resultsThe LASSO model yielded the best predictive performance in cross-validation and was fit in the full training set based on optimised hyperparameters. Our radiomics model had a test-set AUC of 0.93 (95% CI 0.90 to 0.96) and outperformed the established Pan-Canadian Early Detection of Lung Cancer model (AUC 0.87, 95% CI 0.85 to 0.89) for nodule assessment. Our model performed well among both solid (AUC 0.93, 95% CI 0.89 to 0.97) and subsolid nodules (AUC 0.91, 95% CI 0.85 to 0.95).

conclusionsWe developed highly accurate ML models based on radiomic and epidemiological features from four international lung cancer screening studies that may be suitable for assessing indeterminate screen-detected pulmonary nodules for risk of malignancy.

Indexed as

Lung NeoplasmsMultiple Pulmonary NodulesCanadaEarly Detection of CancerHumansMachine LearningRadiomicsRetrospective StudiesTomography, X-Ray Computedclinical epidemiologyimaging/CT MRI etclung cancer

Identifiers

PMID38195644
PMCPMC10947877
OpenAlexW4390698362

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.