Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38191193›Full record

ArticleBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2024

Evaluation of clinical prediction models (part 1): from development to external validation.

Gary S Collins, Paula Dhiman, Jie Ma, Michael M Schlussel, Lucinda Archer, Ben Van Calster, Frank E Harrell, Glen P Martin, Karel G M Moons, Maarten van Smeden and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 434 papers, 11 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
434citing papers in PubMed, 11 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

434 citing papers in PubMed, 11 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  12. Trial
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  16. Observational
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374 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Gary S CollinsCentre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7LD, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-2772-2316
Paula DhimanCentre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7LD, UK.
Jie MaCentre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7LD, UK.
Michael M SchlusselCentre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7LD, UK.
Lucinda ArcherInstitute of Applied Health Research, College of Medical and Dental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Ben Van CalsterKU Leuven, Department of Development and Regeneration, Leuven, Belgium.
Frank E HarrellDepartment of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA.
Glen P MartinDivision of Informatics, Imaging and Data Science, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester, UK.
Karel G M MoonsJulius Centre for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.
Maarten van SmedenJulius Centre for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.
Matthew SperrinDivision of Informatics, Imaging and Data Science, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester, UK.
Garrett S BullockDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, USA.
Richard D RileyInstitute of Applied Health Research, College of Medical and Dental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.

Funding

Cancer Research UK 27294Medical Research Council MR/V038168/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

PubMed holds no abstract for this paper.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalHumansPrognosis

Identifiers

PMID38191193
PMCPMC10772854

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.