ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2024
Societal determinants of flood-induced displacement.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
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Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed.
- Changes in resource insecurity, sexual and mental health among young women after Kenya's 2024 heavy rains and floods.International health · 2026Article
- Social networks and international migration in Honduran villages.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Compound and heterogeneous relationships between climate extremes and global net migration.Nature climate change · 2026Article
- Combined models of violent conflict and natural hazards improve predictions of household mobility in Bangladesh.Communications earth & environment · 2026Article
- Political development predicts reduced human cost of flooding.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Socioeconomic predictors of vulnerability to flood-induced displacement.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Estimating effects of monsoon flooding on household water access.Environmental research letters : ERL [Web site] · 2024Article
- Migration and sustainable development.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
- Scientific frontiers on migration and sustainability.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
Abstract
What explains human consequences of weather-related disaster? Here, we explore how core socioeconomic, political, and security conditions shape flood-induced displacement worldwide since 2000. In-sample regression analysis shows that extreme displacement levels are more likely in contexts marked by low national income levels, nondemocratic political systems, high local economic activity, and prevalence of armed conflict. The analysis also reveals large residual differences across continents, where flood-induced displacement in the Global South often is much more widespread than direct human exposure measures would suggest. However, these factors have limited influence on our ability to accurately predict flood displacement on new data, pointing to important, hard-to-operationalize heterogeneity in flood impacts across contexts and critical data limitations. Although results are consistent with an interpretation that the sustainable development agenda is beneficial for disaster risk reduction, better data on societal consequences of natural hazards are critically needed to support evidence-based decision-making.
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