Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38184474›Full record

ArticleBritish journal of anaesthesia2024

Development and multicentre validation of the FLEX score: personalised preoperative surgical risk prediction using attention-based ICD-10 and Current Procedural Terminology set embeddings.

Ran Liu, Tom A D Stone, Praachi Raje, Rory V Mather, Laura A Santa Cruz Mercado, Kishore Bharadwaj, Jasmine Johnson, Masaya Higuchi, Ryan D Nipp, Hiroko Kunitake and 1 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in British journal of anaesthesia, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Rethinking the Integration of Artificial Intelligence Into Surgery: Centralized Risk Assessment for System-Level Impact.Annals of surgery open : perspectives of surgical history, education, and clinical approaches · 2026
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Ran LiuDepartment of Anesthesia, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA; Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Tom A D StoneDepartment of Anesthesia, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA; Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Praachi RajeHarvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Rory V MatherDepartment of Anesthesia, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA; Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Harvard-MIT Program in Health Sciences and Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Laura A Santa Cruz MercadoDepartment of Anesthesia, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA; Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Anesthesia, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Kishore BharadwajDepartment of Anesthesia, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA; Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Jasmine JohnsonDepartment of Anesthesia, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA; Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Masaya HiguchiHarvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Medicine, Division of Palliative Care and Geriatric Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Ryan D NippSection of Hematology/Oncology, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center, Stephenson Cancer Center, Oklahoma City, OK, USA.
Hiroko KunitakeHarvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Patrick L PurdonDepartment of Anesthesia, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA; Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA. Electronic address: ppurdon@stanford.edu.

Funding

Medical Scientist Training ProgramT32GM144273 · NIGMS · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI David Shumway Jones, Jacqueline A. Lees · 2022 to 2026
$14.7M
Neuroimaging Training ProgramT32EB001680 · NIBIB · MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY · PI BRUCE R ROSEN · 2003 to 2026
$3.8M
Developing novel technologies to monitor nociception and opioid administration during surgery and general anesthesia to minimize postoperative opioid requirementsR42DA053075 · NIDA · PASCALL SYSTEMS, INCORPORATED · PI LE MAU, TUAN, PURDON, PATRICK L. · 2020 to 2024
$3.5M
The Aging Brain Under General Anesthesia: Neurophysiology, Neuroimaging Biomarkers of Aging and Alzheimer's Disease, and Post-Operative Cognitive OutcomesR01AG056015 · NIA · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI DICKERSON, BRADFORD C, PURDON, PATRICK L. · 2017 to 2021
$3.2M
A pilot study to characterize brain dynamic biomarkers of fentanyl for opioid overdose monitoringR21DA048323 · NIDA · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI PURDON, PATRICK L. · 2019 to 2020
$462k
Model-based optimization of pain management in surgical patientsF32GM148114 · NIGMS · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI LIU, RAN · 2022 to 2024
$210k
NIA NIH HHS R01 AG056015NIBIB NIH HHS T32 EB001680NIDA NIH HHS R21 DA048323NIDA NIH HHS R42 DA053075NIGMS NIH HHS F32 GM148114NIGMS NIH HHS T32 GM144273
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPreoperative knowledge of surgical risks can improve perioperative care and patient outcomes. However, assessments requiring clinician examination of patients or manual chart review can be too burdensome for routine use.

methodsWe conducted a multicentre retrospective study of 243 479 adult noncardiac surgical patients at four hospitals within the Mass General Brigham (MGB) system in the USA. We developed a machine learning method using routinely collected coding and patient characteristics data from the electronic health record which predicts 30-day mortality, 30-day readmission, discharge to long-term care, and hospital length of stay.

resultsOur method, the Flexible Surgical Set Embedding (FLEX) score, achieved state-of-the-art performance to identify comorbidities that significantly contribute to the risk of each adverse outcome. The contributions of comorbidities are weighted based on patient-specific context, yielding personalised risk predictions. Understanding the significant drivers of risk of adverse outcomes for each patient can inform clinicians of potential targets for intervention.

conclusionsFLEX utilises information from a wider range of medical diagnostic and procedural codes than previously possible and can adapt to different coding practices to accurately predict adverse postoperative outcomes.

Indexed as

Current Procedural TerminologyInternational Classification of DiseasesAdultHumansPatient ReadmissionPerioperative CareRetrospective Studiesadverse surgical outcomesbilling codesmachine learningmulticentre studypostoperative outcomerisk predictionsurgical comorbidities

Identifiers

PMID38184474
PMCPMC10870132

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.