Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38184419›Full record

ArticleAcademic radiology2024

Imaging Changes and Outcomes of Patients Undergoing Active Monitoring for Ductal Carcinoma In Situ: Seven-Year Follow-up Study.

Derek L Nguyen, E Shelley Hwang, Marc D Ryser, Lars J Grimm

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Academic radiology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Active Monitoring versus Surgical Excision for Atypical Ductal Hyperplasia.Cancer prevention research (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2026
    Observational
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Derek L NguyenDepartment of Radiology, Duke University School of Medicine, 20 Duke Medicine Cir Durham, Durham, North Carolina, 27710, USA (D.L.N., L.J.G.). Electronic address: derek.nguyen@duke.edu.
E Shelley HwangDepartment of Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, 20 Duke Medicine Cir Durham, Durham, North Carolina, 27710, USA (E.S.H.).
Marc D RyserDepartment of Population Health Sciences and Mathematics, Duke University Medical Center, Duke University, 20 Duke Medicine Cir Durham, Durham, North Carolina, 27710, USA (M.D.R.).
Lars J GrimmDepartment of Radiology, Duke University School of Medicine, 20 Duke Medicine Cir Durham, Durham, North Carolina, 27710, USA (D.L.N., L.J.G.).
Duke University · USDuke University Hospital · US

Funding

Dynamic imaging and tissue biomarker models to delineate indolent from aggressive breast calcificationsR01CA271237 · NCI · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI GRIMM, LARS J, MARKS, JEFFREY R. · 2022 to 2025
$2.1M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA271237
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

RATIONALE AND

objectivesTo determine the imaging changes and their associated positive predictive value (PPV) for invasive breast cancer in women undergoing active monitoring for ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS). MATERIALS AND

methodsIn this seven-year follow-up retrospective IRB-exempted cohort study, we reviewed patients diagnosed with DCIS who elected active monitoring between 2003 and 2022 at a single academic institution. Imaging characteristics, histopathology at initial diagnosis, and subsequent follow-up were recorded. Low-risk DCIS was defined as low or intermediate grade and hormone receptor (HR) positive (estrogen and/or progesterone receptor positive) disease diagnosed in women at least 40 years of age. Progression was defined as subsequent ipsilateral invasive breast cancer diagnosis.

resultsThere were 39 patients with a median age of 58.4 years (IQR: 51.1-69.6 years) and a median follow-up of 4.3 years (range: 0.6-16.4 years). Nearly two thirds of patients (64%, 25/39) had stable imaging (range: 0.6-16.4 years) and remained progression-free during active monitoring. Among the remaining 14 patients (36%), there were 24 imaging findings which prompted 22 subsequent core needle biopsies (range: 1-3 biopsies per patient) and two surgical biopsies. The PPV of invasive cancer was 29% (7/24) overall and 38% (3/8) for masses, 33% (3/9) for calcifications, 17% (1/6) for non-mass enhancement, and 0% (0/1) for architectural distortion.

conclusionOf the radiographic changes prompting an additional biopsy, development of a new mass (38%) and new calcifications (33%) had the highest PPV for invasive progression. Close imaging follow-up should be a critical component for patients undergoing monitoring for DCIS.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsCarcinoma, Intraductal, NoninfiltratingMammographyAgedDisease ProgressionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRetrospective StudiesWatchful WaitingBreast cancerDCIS active monitoringDuctal carcinoma in situLow-risk DCISMammography

Identifiers

PMID38184419
PMCPMC11224137
OpenAlexW4390604679

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.