Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38182279›Full record

ArticleHeart (British Cardiac Society)2024

Heightened long-term cardiovascular risks after exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

Nathaniel M Hawkins, Clementine Nordon, Kirsty Rhodes, Manisha Talukdar, Suzanne McMullen, Paul Ekwaru, Tram Pham, Arsh K Randhawa, Don D Sin

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Heart (British Cardiac Society), 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 39 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
39citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
22.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

39 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 53 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Methods to assess atherosclerotic cardiovascular risk in chronic respiratory diseases: a systematic review.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Nathaniel M HawkinsCentre for Cardiovascular Innovation, Division of Cardiology, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada nat.hawkins@ubc.ca.ORCID 0000-0003-1286-2014
Clementine NordonAstraZeneca UK Limited, Cambridge, UK.
Kirsty RhodesAstraZeneca UK Limited, Cambridge, UK.
Manisha TalukdarAstraZeneca Canada Inc, Mississauga, Ontario, Canada.
Suzanne McMullenMedlior Health Outcomes Research Ltd, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
Paul EkwaruMedlior Health Outcomes Research Ltd, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
Tram PhamMedlior Health Outcomes Research Ltd, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
Arsh K RandhawaAstraZeneca Canada Inc, Mississauga, Ontario, Canada.
Don D SinUBC Centre for Heart Lung Innovation and Department of Medicine (Respirology), The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Health Economics and Outcomes Research (United Kingdom) · GBAstraZeneca (Canada) · CAAstraZeneca (United Kingdom) · GBUniversity of British Columbia · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo examine the risk of adverse cardiovascular (CV) events following an exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

methodsThis retrospective cohort study identified patients with COPD using administrative data from Alberta, Canada from 2014 to 2019. Exposure periods were 12 months following moderate or severe exacerbations; the reference period was time preceding a first exacerbation. The primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death or a first hospitalisation for acute coronary syndrome, heart failure (HF), arrhythmia or cerebral ischaemia. Time-dependent Cox regression models estimated covariate-adjusted risks associated with six exposure subperiods following exacerbation.

resultsAmong 1 42 787 patients (mean age 68.1 years and 51.7% men) 61 981 (43.4%) experienced at least one exacerbation and 34 068 (23.9%) died during median follow-up of 64 months. The primary outcome occurred in 43 564 (30.5%) patients with an incidence rate prior to exacerbation of 5.43 (95% CI 5.36 to 5.50) per 100 person-years. This increased to 95.61 per 100 person-years in the 1-7 days postexacerbation (adjusted HR 15.86, 95% CI 15.17 to 16.58) and remained increased for up to 1 year. The risk of both the composite and individual CV events was increased following either a moderate or a severe exacerbation, though greater and more prolonged following severe exacerbation. The highest magnitude of increased risk was observed for HF decompensation (1-7 days, HR 72.34, 95% CI 64.43 to 81.22).

conclusionModerate and severe COPD exacerbations are independent risk factors for adverse CV events, especially HF decompensation. The impact of optimising COPD management on CV outcomes should be evaluated.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesDisease ProgressionPulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveAgedAlbertaCause of DeathFemaleHospitalizationHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsTime FactorsArrhythmias, CardiacHeart FailureRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID38182279
PMCPMC11103306
OpenAlexW4390645940

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.