Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38181019›Full record

Observational studyPloS one2024

Using machine learning to assess the extent of busy ambulances and its impact on ambulance response times: A retrospective observational study.

Lars Eide Næss, Andreas Jørstad Krüger, Oddvar Uleberg, Helge Haugland, Jostein Dale, Jon-Ola Wattø, Sara Marie Nilsen, Andreas Asheim

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in PloS one, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Lars Eide NæssDepartment of Research and Development, The Norwegian Air Ambulance Foundation, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-5779-7271
Andreas Jørstad KrügerDepartment of Research and Development, The Norwegian Air Ambulance Foundation, Oslo, Norway.
Oddvar UlebergDepartment of Emergency Medicine and Pre-Hospital Services, St. Olav's University Hospital, Trondheim, Norway.
Helge HauglandDepartment of Research and Development, The Norwegian Air Ambulance Foundation, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-5869-6675
Jostein DaleDepartment of Emergency Medicine and Pre-Hospital Services, St. Olav's University Hospital, Trondheim, Norway.
Jon-Ola WattøDepartment of Emergency Medicine and Pre-Hospital Services, St. Olav's University Hospital, Trondheim, Norway.
Sara Marie NilsenCenter for Health Care Improvement, St. Olav's University Hospital, Trondheim, Norway.ORCID 0000-0001-6762-9645
Andreas AsheimCenter for Health Care Improvement, St. Olav's University Hospital, Trondheim, Norway.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAmbulance response times are considered important. Busy ambulances are common, but little is known about their effect on response times.

objectiveTo assess the extent of busy ambulances in Central Norway and their impact on ambulance response times.

designThis was a retrospective observational study. We used machine learning on data from nearby incidents to assess the probability of up to five different ambulances being candidates to respond to a medical emergency incident. For each incident, the probability of a busy ambulance was estimated by summing the probabilities of candidate ambulances being busy at the time of the incident. The difference in response time that may be attributable to busy ambulances was estimated by comparing groups of nearby incidents with different estimated busy probabilities.

settingMedical emergency incidents with ambulance response in Central Norway from 2013 to 2022.

main outcome measuresPrevalence of busy ambulances and differences in response times associated with busy ambulances.

resultsThe estimated probability of busy ambulances for all 216,787 acute incidents with ambulance response was 26.7% (95% confidence interval (CI) 26.6 to 26.9). Comparing nearby incidents, each 10-percentage point increase in the probability of a busy ambulance was associated with a delay of 0.60 minutes (95% CI 0.58 to 0.62). For incidents in rural and urban areas, the probability of a busy ambulance was 21.6% (95% CI 21.5 to 21.8) and 35.0% (95% CI 34.8 to 35.2), respectively. The delay associated with a 10-percentage point increase in busy probability was 0.81 minutes (95% CI 0.78 to 0.84) and 0.30 minutes (95% CI 0.28 to 0.32), respectively.

conclusionAmbulances were often busy, which was associated with delayed ambulance response times. In rural areas, the probability of busy ambulances was lower, although the potentially longer delays when ambulances were busy made these areas more vulnerable.

Indexed as

AmbulancesMachine LearningHumansNorwayProbabilityReaction TimeRetrospective Studies

Identifiers

PMID38181019
PMCPMC10769093

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.