ArticleJournal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999)2024
New HIV Infections Among Key Populations and Their Partners in 2010 and 2022, by World Region: A Multisources Estimation.
Article in Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999), 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 71 papers, 7 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
71 citing papers in PubMed, 7 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Prospects of HIV elimination among men who have sex with men: A systematic review of modeling studies.PLoS computational biology · 2026Pooled it
- Circumcision for HIV Prevention in Men Who Have Sex With Men: An Updated Meta-Analysis.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2026Pooled it
- HIV prevalence in transgender women and cisgender men who have sex with men in sub-Saharan Africa.AIDS (London, England) · 2026Pooled it
- Promoting Healthy Aging Through Mindfulness and Yoga: A Systematic Review of Interventions for People Living with HIV Who Use Drugs or Who Have a History of Substance Use.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2025Pooled it
- Global and regional molecular epidemiology of HIV-1 among men who have sex with men: a systematic review and meta-analysis.AIDS research and therapy · 2025Pooled it
- Challenges in Elucidating HIV-1 Genetic Diversity in the Middle East and North Africa: A Review Based on a Systematic Search.Viruses · 2025Pooled it
- Prevalence and associated factors of HIV among female sex workers in Eastern and Southern Africa: Systematic review and meta-analysis.PloS one · 2024Pooled it
- Investigating impact of theory of planned behavior-based educational intervention on HIV screening among healthcare staff.BMC health services research · 2025Trial
- Weekly Text Messages to Support Adherence to Oral Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) Among Gay, Bisexual, and Other Cisgender Men Who Have Sex With Men (MSM) and Transgender Women: Pilot Randomized Controlled Trial Nested in PrEP Brasil Study.Journal of medical Internet research · 2025Trial
- Observational
- A Population-Based HIV Vaccine Efficacy Trial Design: Statistical Framework and Design Considerations.Vaccines · 2026Review
- Optimizing HIV Spending Among Key Populations in Five Latin American and Caribbean Countries: A Mathematical Modelling Study.Journal of the International AIDS Society · 2026Article
- Integrating HIV Into Sexual and Reproductive Health Services for Female Sex Workers in Buenos Aires, Argentina: A Comprehensive Model Designed Through Intersectional Collaboration.Journal of the International AIDS Society · 2026Article
- Viral suppression status and associated factors among key populations on ART in Western Oromia, Ethiopia: a retrospective analysis.AIDS research and therapy · 2026Article
- Willingness to pay for injectable HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis among male and female sex workers in Uganda.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2026Article
- Representativeness of participants in a randomized controlled trial on modalities of monitoring oral HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis use.AIDS research and therapy · 2026Article
- Beyond protection: navigating biomedical HIV prevention and risk compensation in MSM, 2018-2024.AIDS research and therapy · 2026Article
- HIV Risk Profiles and Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis and Postexposure Prophylaxis Uptake Among Men Who Have Sex With Men in China: Cross-Sectional Latent Class Analysis.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2026Article
- Chemsex and uptake of HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis among adult cisgender gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men worldwide: a systematic review with meta-analysis.EClinicalMedicine · 2026Article
- Rising HIV infections and shifting transmission patterns in Bangladesh: Emerging risks among key populations.Preventive medicine reports · 2026Article
11 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
15 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundPreviously, The Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS estimated proportions of adult new HIV infections among key populations (KPs) in the last calendar year, globally and in 8 regions. We refined and updated these, for 2010 and 2022, using country-level trend models informed by national data.
methodsInfections among 15-49 year olds were estimated for sex workers (SWs), male clients of female SW, men who have sex with men (MSM), people who inject drugs (PWID), transgender women (TGW), and non-KP sex partners of these groups. Transmission models used were Goals (71 countries), AIDS Epidemic Model (13 Asian countries), Optima (9 European and Central Asian countries), and Thembisa (South Africa). Statistical Estimation and Projection Package fits were used for 15 countries. For 40 countries, new infections in 1 or more KPs were approximated from first-time diagnoses by the mode of transmission. Infection proportions among nonclient partners came from Goals, Optima, AIDS Epidemic Model, and Thembisa. For remaining countries and groups not represented in models, median proportions by KP were extrapolated from countries modeled within the same region.
resultsAcross 172 countries, estimated proportions of new adult infections in 2010 and 2022 were both 7.7% for SW, 11% and 20% for MSM, 0.72% and 1.1% for TGW, 6.8% and 8.0% for PWID, 12% and 10% for clients, and 5.3% and 8.2% for nonclient partners. In sub-Saharan Africa, proportions of new HIV infections decreased among SW, clients, and non-KP partners but increased for PWID; elsewhere these groups' 2010-to-2022 differences were opposite. For MSM and TGW, the proportions increased across all regions.
conclusionsKPs continue to have disproportionately high HIV incidence.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.