Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38177689›Full record

ArticleNature ecology & evolution2024

African savanna raptors show evidence of widespread population collapse and a growing dependence on protected areas.

Phil Shaw, Darcy Ogada, Leah Dunn, Ralph Buij, Arjun Amar, Rebecca Garbett, Marc Herremans, Munir Z Virani, Corinne J Kendall, Barbara M Croes and 9 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature ecology & evolution, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Hooded VulturesEcology and evolution · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Phil Shaw *Centre for Biological Diversity, School of Biology, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK. ps61@st-andrews.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-8183-0289
Darcy Ogada *The Peregrine Fund, Boise, ID, USA. ogada.darcy@peregrinefund.org.ORCID 0000-0002-8642-9945
Leah DunnThe Peregrine Fund, Boise, ID, USA.
Ralph BuijThe Peregrine Fund, Boise, ID, USA.
Arjun AmarFitzPatrick Institute of African Ornithology, DST-NRF Centre of Excellence, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0002-7405-1180
Rebecca GarbettFitzPatrick Institute of African Ornithology, DST-NRF Centre of Excellence, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Marc HerremansNatuurpunt Studie vzw, Mechelen, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-9719-8732
Munir Z ViraniMohamed Bin Zayed Raptor Conservation Fund, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
Corinne J KendallNorth Carolina Zoo, Asheboro, NC, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4429-4496
Barbara M CroesInstitute of Environmental Sciences, Leiden University, Leiden, the Netherlands.
Martin OdinoThe Peregrine Fund, Boise, ID, USA.
Shiv KapilaThe Kenya Bird of Prey Trust, Naivasha, Kenya.
Peter WairashoNational Museums of Kenya, Nairobi, Kenya.
Christian RutzCentre for Biological Diversity, School of Biology, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-5187-7417
André BothaEndangered Wildlife Trust, Gauteng, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0003-1077-1215
Umberto Gallo-OrsiRaptors MOU Coordinating Unit, Convention on Migratory Species (CMS), Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.ORCID 0009-0007-2378-1726
Campbell MurnHawk Conservancy Trust, Andover, Hampshire, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-4064-6060
Glyn MaudeRaptors Botswana, Maun, Botswana.
Simon ThomsettThe Kenya Bird of Prey Trust, Naivasha, Kenya.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The conversion of natural habitats to farmland is a major cause of biodiversity loss and poses the greatest extinction risk to birds worldwide. Tropical raptors are of particular concern, being relatively slow-breeding apex predators and scavengers, whose disappearance can trigger extensive cascading effects. Many of Africa's raptors are at considerable risk from habitat conversion, prey-base depletion and persecution, driven principally by human population expansion. Here we describe multiregional trends among 42 African raptor species, 88% of which have declined over a ca. 20-40-yr period, with 69% exceeding the International Union for Conservation of Nature criteria classifying species at risk of extinction. Large raptors had experienced significantly steeper declines than smaller species, and this disparity was more pronounced on unprotected land. Declines were greater in West Africa than elsewhere, and more than twice as severe outside of protected areas (PAs) than within. Worryingly, species suffering the steepest declines had become significantly more dependent on PAs, demonstrating the importance of expanding conservation areas to cover 30% of land by 2030-a key target agreed at the UN Convention on Biological Diversity COP15. Our findings also highlight the significance of a recent African-led proposal to strengthen PA management-initiatives considered fundamental to safeguarding global biodiversity, ecosystem functioning and climate resilience.

Indexed as

EcosystemRaptorsAnimalsBiodiversityConservation of Natural ResourcesGrasslandHumans

Identifiers

PMID38177689
PMCPMC10781635

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.