Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38171301›Full record

ArticleNeurospine2023

A Predictive Model of Failure to Rescue After Thoracolumbar Fusion.

Joanna M Roy, Aaron C Segura, Kranti Rumalla, Georgios P Skandalakis, Michael M Covell, Christian A Bowers

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Neurospine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Predictive value of the risk analysis index for 30-day mortality following surgical management of thoracolumbar vertebral body fractures.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Joanna M RoyTopiwala National Medical College, Mumbai, India.
Aaron C SeguraBowers Neurosurgical Frailty and Outcomes Data Science Lab, Sandy, UT, USA.
Kranti RumallaBowers Neurosurgical Frailty and Outcomes Data Science Lab, Sandy, UT, USA.
Georgios P SkandalakisBowers Neurosurgical Frailty and Outcomes Data Science Lab, Sandy, UT, USA.
Michael M CovellBowers Neurosurgical Frailty and Outcomes Data Science Lab, Sandy, UT, USA.
Christian A BowersBowers Neurosurgical Frailty and Outcomes Data Science Lab, Sandy, UT, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveAlthough failure to rescue (FTR) has been utilized as a quality-improvement metric in several surgical specialties, its current utilization in spine surgery is limited. Our study aims to identify the patient characteristics that are independent predictors of FTR among thoracolumbar fusion (TLF) patients.

methodsPatients who underwent TLF were identified using relevant diagnostic and procedural codes from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database from 2011-2020. Frailty was assessed using the risk analysis index (RAI). FTR was defined as death, within 30 days, following a major complication. Univariate and multivariable analyses were used to compare baseline characteristics and early postoperative sequelae across FTR and non-FTR cohorts. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to assess the discriminatory accuracy of the frailty-driven predictive model for FTR.

resultsThe study cohort (N = 15,749) had a median age of 66 years (interquartile range, 15 years). Increasing frailty, as measured by the RAI, was associated with an increased likelihood of FTR: odds ratio (95% confidence interval [CI]) is RAI 21-25, 1.3 [0.8-2.2]; RAI 26-30, 4.0 [2.4-6.6]; RAI 31-35, 7.0 [3.8-12.7]; RAI 36-40, 10.0 [4.9-20.2]; RAI 41- 45, 21.5 [9.1-50.6]; RAI ≥ 46, 45.8 [14.8-141.5]. The frailty-driven predictive model for FTR demonstrated outstanding discriminatory accuracy (C-statistic = 0.92; CI, 0.89-0.95).

conclusionBaseline frailty, as stratified by type of postoperative complication, predicts FTR with outstanding discriminatory accuracy in TLF patients. This frailty-driven model may inform patients and clinicians of FTR risk following TLF and help guide postoperative care after a major complication.

Indexed as

FrailtyNSQIPOutcomesRisk analysis indexSpine surgeryThoracolumbar fusion

Identifiers

PMID38171301
PMCPMC10762394

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.