Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38170371›Full record

ArticleEuropean journal of epidemiology2024

Bias assessment and correction for Levin's population attributable fraction in the presence of confounding.

John Ferguson, Alberto Alvarez, Martin Mulligan, Conor Judge, Martin O'Donnell

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European journal of epidemiology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. [Apply the Miettinen Formula to Assess the Health Benefits of the PMSichuan da xue xue bao. Yi xue ban = Journal of Sichuan University. Medical science edition · 2026
    Article
  6. Nicotine consumption and folate insufficiency in pregnancy: a population-based cross-sectional study.The journal of maternal-fetal & neonatal medicine : the official journal of the European Association of Perinatal Medicine, the Federation of Asia and Oceania Perinatal Societies, the International Society of Perinatal Obstetricians · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Cancers attributable to diet in Italy.International journal of cancer · 2025
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

John FergusonHRB Clinical Research Facility Galway, University of Galway, Galway, Ireland. john.ferguson@universityofgalway.ie.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8475-398X
Alberto AlvarezHRB Clinical Research Facility Galway, University of Galway, Galway, Ireland.
Martin MulliganHRB Clinical Research Facility Galway, University of Galway, Galway, Ireland.
Conor JudgeHRB Clinical Research Facility Galway, University of Galway, Galway, Ireland.
Martin O'DonnellHRB Clinical Research Facility Galway, University of Galway, Galway, Ireland.

Funding

Health Research Board EIA 2017-017
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In 1953, Morton Levin introduced a simple approach to estimating population attributable fractions (PAF) depending only on risk factor prevalence and relative risk. This formula and its extensions are still in widespread use today, particularly to estimate PAF in populations where individual data is unavailable. Unfortunately, Levin's approach is known to be asymptotically biased for the PAF when the risk factor-disease relationship is confounded even if relative risks that are correctly adjusted for confounding are used in the estimator. Here we describe a simple re-expression of Miettinen's estimand that depends on the causal relative risk, the unadjusted relative risk and the population risk factor prevalence. While this re-expression is not new, it has been underappreciated in the literature, and the associated estimator may be useful in estimating PAF in populations when individual data is unavailable provided estimated adjusted and unadjusted relative risks can be transported to the population of interest. Using the re-expressed estimand, we develop novel analytic formulae for the relative and absolute asymptotic bias in Levin's formula, solidifying earlier work by Darrow and Steenland that used simulations to investigate this bias. We extend all results to settings with non-binary valued risk factors and continuous exposures and discuss the utility of these results in estimating PAF in practice.

Indexed as

Risk FactorsBiasHumansLevins formulaMiettinens formulaPopulation attributable fraction

Identifiers

PMID38170371
PMCPMC10904572

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.