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ArticleScientific reports2024

Spatio-temporal epidemiology and associated indicators of COVID-19 (wave-I and II) in India.

Karuppusamy Balasubramani, Venkatesh Ravichandran, Kumar Arun Prasad, Mu Ramkumar, Sulochana Shekhar, Meenu Mariya James, Naveen Kumar Kodali, Sujit Kumar Behera, Natarajan Gopalan, Rakesh Kumar Sharma and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Karuppusamy Balasubramani *Department of Geography, School of Earth Sciences, Central University of Tamil Nadu, Thiruvarur, 610005, India.
Venkatesh Ravichandran *Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Guwahati, Guwahati, 781039, India.
Kumar Arun Prasad *Department of Geography, School of Earth Sciences, Central University of Tamil Nadu, Thiruvarur, 610005, India.
Mu RamkumarDepartment of Geology, Periyar University, Salem, India.
Sulochana ShekharDepartment of Geography, School of Earth Sciences, Central University of Tamil Nadu, Thiruvarur, 610005, India.
Meenu Mariya JamesDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, School of Life Sciences, Central University of Tamil Nadu, Thiruvarur, 610005, India.
Naveen Kumar KodaliDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, School of Life Sciences, Central University of Tamil Nadu, Thiruvarur, 610005, India.
Sujit Kumar BeheraDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, School of Life Sciences, Central University of Tamil Nadu, Thiruvarur, 610005, India.
Natarajan GopalanDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, School of Life Sciences, Central University of Tamil Nadu, Thiruvarur, 610005, India.
Rakesh Kumar SharmaShree Guru Gobind Singh Tricentenary University, Gurugram, New-Delhi-NCR, 122505, India.
Devojit Kumar SarmaICMR- National Institute for Research in Environmental Health, Bhopal Bypass Road, Bhouri, Bhopal, Madhya Pradesh, India.
M SantoshSchool of Earth Sciences and Resources, China University of Geosciences, Beijing, People's Republic of China.
Aditya Prasad DashAsian Institute of Public Health University, Phulnakhara, Cuttack, Odisha, 754001, India.
Praveen Balabaskaran NinaDepartment of Public Health and Community Medicine, Central University of Kerala, Kasaragod, Kerala, 671316, India. praveen.nina@cukerala.ac.in.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The spatio-temporal distribution of COVID-19 across India's states and union territories is not uniform, and the reasons for the heterogeneous spread are unclear. Identifying the space-time trends and underlying indicators influencing COVID-19 epidemiology at micro-administrative units (districts) will help guide public health strategies. The district-wise daily COVID-19 data of cases and deaths from February 2020 to August 2021 (COVID-19 waves-I and II) for the entire country were downloaded and curated from public databases. The COVID-19 data normalized with the projected population (2020) and used for space-time trend analysis shows the states/districts in southern India are the worst hit. Coastal districts and districts adjoining large urban regions of Mumbai, Chennai, Bengaluru, Goa, and New Delhi experienced > 50,001 cases per million population. Negative binomial regression analysis with 21 independent variables (identified through multicollinearity analysis, with VIF < 10) covering demography, socio-economic status, environment, and health was carried out for wave-I, wave-II, and total (wave-I and wave-II) cases and deaths. It shows wealth index, derived from household amenities datasets, has a high positive risk ratio (RR) with COVID-19 cases (RR: 3.577; 95% CI: 2.062-6.205) and deaths (RR: 2.477; 95% CI: 1.361-4.506) across the districts. Furthermore, socio-economic factors such as literacy rate, health services, other workers' rate, alcohol use in men, tobacco use in women, overweight/obese women, and rainfall have a positive RR and are significantly associated with COVID-19 cases/deaths at the district level. These positively associated variables are highly interconnected in COVID-19 hotspot districts. Among these, the wealth index, literacy rate, and health services, the key indices of socio-economic development within a state, are some of the significant indicators associated with COVID-19 epidemiology in India. The identification of district-level space-time trends and indicators associated with COVID-19 would help policymakers devise strategies and guidelines during public health emergencies.

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COVID-19Family CharacteristicsFemaleHumansIndiaMale

Identifiers

PMID38167962
PMCPMC10761923

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