Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38167693›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

More than 17,000 tree species are at risk from rapid global change.

Coline C F Boonman, Josep M Serra-Diaz, Selwyn Hoeks, Wen-Yong Guo, Brian J Enquist, Brian Maitner, Yadvinder Malhi, Cory Merow, Robert Buitenwerf, Jens-Christian Svenning

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Coline C F BoonmanCenter for Ecological Dynamics in a Novel Biosphere (ECONOVO) & Center for Biodiversity Dynamics in a Changing World (BIOCHANGE), Department of Biology, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark. colineboonman@bio.au.dk.ORCID 0000-0003-2417-1579
Josep M Serra-DiazDepartment of Ecology and Evolution and Eversource Energy Center, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT, USA.
Selwyn HoeksDepartment of Environmental Science, Radboud Institute for Biological and Environmental Sciences (RIBES), Radboud University, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-5619-3233
Wen-Yong GuoResearch Center for Global Change and Complex Ecosystems, School of Ecological and Environmental Sciences, East China Normal University, Shanghai, 200241, People's Republic of China.
Brian J EnquistDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA.
Brian MaitnerDepartment of Geography, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2118-9880
Yadvinder MalhiEnvironmental Change Institute, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, South Parks Road, Oxford, OX1 3QY, England, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-3503-4783
Cory MerowDepartment of Ecology and Evolution and Eversource Energy Center, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0561-053X
Robert BuitenwerfCenter for Ecological Dynamics in a Novel Biosphere (ECONOVO) & Center for Biodiversity Dynamics in a Changing World (BIOCHANGE), Department of Biology, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0003-3356-2301
Jens-Christian SvenningCenter for Ecological Dynamics in a Novel Biosphere (ECONOVO) & Center for Biodiversity Dynamics in a Changing World (BIOCHANGE), Department of Biology, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-3415-0862

Funding

Agence Nationale de la Recherche (French National Research Agency) ANR-21-CE32-0003Danmarks Grundforskningsfond (Danish National Research Foundation) DNRF173NSF | National Science Board (NSB) 2225076NSF | National Science Board (NSB) 2225078
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Trees are pivotal to global biodiversity and nature's contributions to people, yet accelerating global changes threaten global tree diversity, making accurate species extinction risk assessments necessary. To identify species that require expert-based re-evaluation, we assess exposure to change in six anthropogenic threats over the last two decades for 32,090 tree species. We estimated that over half (54.2%) of the assessed species have been exposed to increasing threats. Only 8.7% of these species are considered threatened by the IUCN Red List, whereas they include more than half of the Data Deficient species (57.8%). These findings suggest a substantial underestimation of threats and associated extinction risk for tree species in current assessments. We also map hotspots of tree species exposed to rapidly changing threats around the world. Our data-driven approach can strengthen the efforts going into expert-based IUCN Red List assessments by facilitating prioritization among species for re-evaluation, allowing for more efficient conservation efforts.

Indexed as

Endangered SpeciesTreesBiodiversityConservation of Natural ResourcesExtinction, Biological

Identifiers

PMID38167693
PMCPMC10761716

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.