Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38165940›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2024

Concurrent warming and browning eliminate cold-water fish habitat in many temperate lakes.

Stephen F Jane, Thomas M Detmer, Siena L Larrick, Kevin C Rose, Eileen A Randall, Kurt J Jirka, Peter B McIntyre

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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  10. Eradication efforts catalyze rapid evolution in an invasive predatory fish.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Subsurface heatwaves in lakes.Nature climate change · 2025
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Concurrent warming and browning eliminate cold-water fish habitat in many temperate lakes.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Stephen F JaneCornell Atkinson Center for Sustainability, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853.ORCID 0000-0003-2968-359X
Thomas M DetmerDepartment of Natural Resources and the Environment, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853.ORCID 0000-0003-4525-5253
Siena L LarrickDepartment of Natural Resources and the Environment, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853.ORCID 0009-0000-0861-5139
Kevin C RoseDepartment of Biological Sciences, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY 12180.
Eileen A RandallDepartment of Natural Resources and the Environment, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853.
Kurt J JirkaDepartment of Natural Resources and the Environment, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853.ORCID 0009-0008-6751-3296
Peter B McIntyreDepartment of Natural Resources and the Environment, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853.ORCID 0000-0003-1809-7552

Funding

CU | Cornell Atkinson Center for Sustainability, Cornell University (Cornell Atkinson) 2021-Postdoc-Jane-sfj24-Y2David and Lucille Packard Fellowship NANortheast Climate Adaptation Science Center G19AC00091
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Cold-water species in temperate lakes face two simultaneous climate-driven ecosystem changes: warming and browning of their waters. Browning refers to reduced transparency arising from increased dissolved organic carbon (DOC), which absorbs solar energy near the surface. It is unclear whether the net effect is mitigation or amplification of climate warming impacts on suitable oxythermal habitat (<20 °C, >5 mgO/L) for cold-loving species because browning expands the vertical distribution of both cool water and oxygen depletion. We analyzed long-term trends and high-frequency sensor data from browning lakes in New York's Adirondack region to assess the contemporary status of summertime habitat for lacustrine brook trout. Across two decades, surface temperatures increased twice as fast and bottom dissolved oxygen declined >180% faster than average trends for temperate lakes. We identify four lake categories based on oxythermal habitat metrics: constrained, squeezed, overheated, and buffered. In most of our study lakes, trout face either seasonal loss (7 of 15) or dramatic restriction (12 to 21% of the water column; 5 of 15) of suitable habitat. These sobering statistics reflect rapid upward expansion of oxygen depletion in lakes with moderate or high DOC relative to compression of heat penetration. Only in very clear lakes has browning potentially mitigated climate warming. Applying our findings to extensive survey data suggests that decades of browning have reduced oxythermal refugia in most Adirondack lakes. We conclude that joint warming and browning may preclude self-sustaining cold-water fisheries in many temperate lakes; hence, oxythermal categorization is essential to guide triage strategies and management interventions.

Indexed as

EcosystemLakesAnimalsOxygenTroutWaterOxygenWaterbrowningclimate changecold-water habitatlakesoxythermal squeeze

Identifiers

PMID38165940
PMCPMC10786301

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.