Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38165929›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2024

A tiny fraction of all species forms most of nature: Rarity as a sticky state.

Egbert H van Nes, Diego G F Pujoni, Sudarshan A Shetty, Gerben Straatsma, Willem M de Vos, Marten Scheffer

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
8.3field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Egbert H van Nes *Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Environmental Science Department, Wageningen University, Wageningen NL-6700 AA, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-6345-104X
Diego G F PujoniFederal University of Minas Gerais, Departamento de Biologia Geral, Instituto de Ciências Biológicas, Laboratório de Limnologia, Ecotoxicologia e Ecologia Aquática, Belo Horizonte MG CEP 31270-901, Brazil.
Sudarshan A ShettyLaboratory of Microbiology, Wageningen University, Wageningen NL-6700 EH, The Netherlands.
Gerben StraatsmaAquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Environmental Science Department, Wageningen University, Wageningen NL-6700 AA, The Netherlands.
Willem M de VosLaboratory of Microbiology, Wageningen University, Wageningen NL-6700 EH, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-0273-3166
Marten Scheffer *Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Environmental Science Department, Wageningen University, Wageningen NL-6700 AA, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-2100-0312
Wageningen University & Research · NLUniversidade Federal de Minas Gerais · BRUniversity of Helsinki · FI

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Using data from a wide range of natural communities including the human microbiome, plants, fish, mushrooms, rodents, beetles, and trees, we show that universally just a few percent of the species account for most of the biomass. This is in line with the classical observation that the vast bulk of biodiversity is very rare. Attempts to find traits allowing the tiny fraction of abundant species to escape rarity have remained unsuccessful. Here, we argue that this might be explained by the fact that hyper-dominance can emerge through stochastic processes. We demonstrate that in neutrally competing groups of species, rarity tends to become a trap if environmental fluctuations result in gains and losses proportional to abundances. This counter-intuitive phenomenon arises because absolute change tends to zero for very small abundances, causing rarity to become a "sticky state", a pseudoattractor that can be revealed numerically in classical ball-in-cup landscapes. As a result, the vast majority of species spend most of their time in rarity leaving space for just a few others to dominate the neutral community. However, fates remain stochastic. Provided that there is some response diversity, roles occasionally shift as stochastic events or natural enemies bring an abundant species down allowing a rare species to rise to dominance. Microbial time series spanning thousands of generations support this prediction. Our results suggest that near-neutrality within niches may allow numerous rare species to persist in the wings of the dominant ones. Stand-ins may serve as insurance when former key species collapse.

Indexed as

EcosystemMicrobiotaAnimalsBiodiversityBiomassHumansStochastic ProcessesTreesbiodiversitycompetitionneutralityrarity

Identifiers

PMID38165929
PMCPMC10786311
OpenAlexW4390512529

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.