Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38163370›Full record

ArticleAnnals of internal medicine2024

Rates of Downstream Procedures and Complications Associated With Lung Cancer Screening in Routine Clinical Practice : A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Katharine A Rendle, Chelsea A Saia, Anil Vachani, Andrea N Burnett-Hartman, V Paul Doria-Rose, Sarah Beucker, Christine Neslund-Dudas, Caryn Oshiro, Roger Y Kim, Jennifer Elston-Lafata and 5 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of internal medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 33 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
33citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
19.3field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

33 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 46 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Reimagining lung screening in women.The British journal of radiology · 2026
    Article
  6. Burden and Impact of Frailty and Comorbidity in Individuals Screened for Lung Cancer.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2026
    Article
  7. Addressing algorithmic bias in lung cancer screening eligibility.Journal of the National Cancer Institute · 2026
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Observational
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Updates in Lung Cancer Screening: A Decade of Evidence.Seminars in respiratory and critical care medicine · 2025
    Review
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 6 institutions in 1 country.

Katharine A RendlePerelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (K.A.R., C.A.S., A.V., S.B., R.Y.K., J.V.W., N.M.).ORCID 0000-0002-7761-8728
Chelsea A SaiaPerelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (K.A.R., C.A.S., A.V., S.B., R.Y.K., J.V.W., N.M.).ORCID 0000-0001-6267-7445
Anil VachaniPerelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (K.A.R., C.A.S., A.V., S.B., R.Y.K., J.V.W., N.M.).ORCID 0000-0002-3871-8697
Andrea N Burnett-HartmanInstitute for Health Research, Kaiser Permanente Colorado, Aurora, Colorado (A.N.B., D.R.).
V Paul Doria-RoseDivision of Cancer Control and Population Sciences, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland (V.P.D.).ORCID 0000-0002-8802-5143
Sarah BeuckerPerelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (K.A.R., C.A.S., A.V., S.B., R.Y.K., J.V.W., N.M.).
Christine Neslund-DudasHenry Ford Health and Henry Ford Cancer Institute, Detroit, Michigan (C.N.).
Caryn OshiroCenter for Integrated Healthcare Research, Kaiser Permanente Hawaii, Honolulu, Hawaii (C.O.).
Roger Y KimPerelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (K.A.R., C.A.S., A.V., S.B., R.Y.K., J.V.W., N.M.).ORCID 0000-0002-8262-484X
Jennifer Elston-LafataHenry Ford Health and Henry Ford Cancer Institute, Detroit, Michigan, and Eshelman School of Pharmacy and Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina (J.E.).ORCID 0000-0002-8550-6195
Stacey A HondaCenter for Integrated Health Care Research, Kaiser Permanente Hawaii, and Hawaii Permanente Medical Group, Honolulu, Hawaii (S.A.H.).ORCID 0000-0001-5496-3759
Debra RitzwollerInstitute for Health Research, Kaiser Permanente Colorado, Aurora, Colorado (A.N.B., D.R.).ORCID 0000-0001-7116-8458
Jocelyn V WainwrightPerelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (K.A.R., C.A.S., A.V., S.B., R.Y.K., J.V.W., N.M.).
Nandita MitraPerelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (K.A.R., C.A.S., A.V., S.B., R.Y.K., J.V.W., N.M.).ORCID 0000-0002-7714-3910
Robert T GreenleeCenter for Clinical Epidemiology and Population Health, Marshfield Clinic Research Institute, Marshfield, Wisconsin (R.T.G.).ORCID 0000-0002-0618-7895
University of Pennsylvania · USKaiser Permanente · USHenry Ford Health System · USMarshfield Clinic · USNational Institutes of Health · USUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · US

Funding

Center for Research to Optimize Precision Lung Cancer Screening in Diverse PopulationsUM1CA221939 · NCI · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI RITZWOLLER, DEBRA P, VACHANI, ANIL · 2018 to 2023
$15.3M
Assessment of a Radiomics-Based Computer-Aided Diagnosis Tool for Cancer Risk Stratification of Pulmonary NodulesK08CA279881 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI Roger Yeon-Kyu Kim · 2023 to 2026
$998k
NCI NIH HHS K08 CA279881NCI NIH HHS UM1 CA221939
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLung cancer screening (LCS) using low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) reduces lung cancer mortality but can lead to downstream procedures, complications, and other potential harms. Estimates of these events outside NLST (National Lung Screening Trial) have been variable and lacked evaluation by screening result, which allows more direct comparison with trials.

objectiveTo identify rates of downstream procedures and complications associated with LCS.

designRetrospective cohort study.

setting5 U.S. health care systems. PATIENTS: Individuals who completed a baseline LDCT scan for LCS between 2014 and 2018. MEASUREMENTS: Outcomes included downstream imaging, invasive diagnostic procedures, and procedural complications. For each, absolute rates were calculated overall and stratified by screening result and by lung cancer detection, and positive and negative predictive values were calculated.

resultsAmong the 9266 screened patients, 1472 (15.9%) had a baseline LDCT scan showing abnormalities, of whom 140 (9.5%) were diagnosed with lung cancer within 12 months (positive predictive value, 9.5% [95% CI, 8.0% to 11.0%]; negative predictive value, 99.8% [CI, 99.7% to 99.9%]; sensitivity, 92.7% [CI, 88.6% to 96.9%]; specificity, 84.4% [CI, 83.7% to 85.2%]). Absolute rates of downstream imaging and invasive procedures in screened patients were 31.9% and 2.8%, respectively. In patients undergoing invasive procedures after abnormal findings, complication rates were substantially higher than those in NLST (30.6% vs. 17.7% for any complication; 20.6% vs. 9.4% for major complications). LIMITATION: Assessment of outcomes was retrospective and was based on procedural coding.

conclusionThe results indicate substantially higher rates of downstream procedures and complications associated with LCS in practice than observed in NLST. Diagnostic management likely needs to be assessed and improved to ensure that screening benefits outweigh potential harms. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Cancer Institute and Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation.

Indexed as

Lung NeoplasmsEarly Detection of CancerHumansLungMass ScreeningRetrospective StudiesTomography, X-Ray Computed

Identifiers

PMID38163370
PMCPMC11111256
OpenAlexW4390480005

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.