Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38153782›Full record

ArticleJMIR public health and surveillance2023

Decreased Seasonal Influenza Rates Detected in a Crowdsourced Influenza-Like Illness Surveillance System During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Prospective Cohort Study.

Autumn Gertz, Benjamin Rader, Kara Sewalk, Tanner J Varrelman, Mark Smolinski, John S Brownstein

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JMIR public health and surveillance, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Observational
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Insight into Antiviral Activity of Ag/TiOInternational journal of nanomedicine · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Autumn GertzComputational Epidemiology Lab, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-1642-8912
Benjamin RaderComputational Epidemiology Lab, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-6095-0193
Kara SewalkComputational Epidemiology Lab, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-2917-0869
Tanner J VarrelmanComputational Epidemiology Lab, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-8766-0129
Mark SmolinskiEnding Pandemics, San Francisco, CA, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-5713-8241
John S BrownsteinComputational Epidemiology Lab, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-8568-5317

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSeasonal respiratory viruses had lower incidence during their 2019-2020 and 2020-2021 seasons, which overlapped with the COVID-19 pandemic. The widespread implementation of precautionary measures to prevent transmission of SARS-CoV-2 has been seen to also mitigate transmission of seasonal influenza. The COVID-19 pandemic also led to changes in care seeking and access. Participatory surveillance systems have historically captured mild illnesses that are often missed by surveillance systems that rely on encounters with a health care provider for detection.

objectiveThis study aimed to assess if a crowdsourced syndromic surveillance system capable of detecting mild influenza-like illness (ILI) also captured the globally observed decrease in ILI in the 2019-2020 and 2020-2021 influenza seasons, concurrent with the COVID-19 pandemic.

methodsFlu Near You (FNY) is a web-based participatory syndromic surveillance system that allows participants in the United States to report their health information using a brief weekly survey. Reminder emails are sent to registered FNY participants to report on their symptoms and the symptoms of household members. Guest participants may also report. ILI was defined as fever and sore throat or fever and cough. ILI rates were determined as the number of ILI reports over the total number of reports and assessed for the 2016-2017, 2017-2018, 2018-2019, 2019-2020, and 2020-2021 influenza seasons. Baseline season (2016-2017, 2017-2018, and 2018-2019) rates were compared to the 2019-2020 and 2020-2021 influenza seasons. Self-reported influenza diagnosis and vaccination status were captured and assessed as the total number of reported events over the total number of reports submitted. CIs for all proportions were calculated via a 1-sample test of proportions.

resultsILI was detected in 3.8% (32,239/848,878) of participants in the baseline seasons (2016-2019), 2.58% (7418/287,909) in the 2019-2020 season, and 0.27% (546/201,079) in the 2020-2021 season. Both influenza seasons that overlapped with the COVID-19 pandemic had lower ILI rates than the baseline seasons. ILI decline was observed during the months with widespread implementation of COVID-19 precautions, starting in February 2020. Self-reported influenza diagnoses decreased from early 2020 through the influenza season. Self-reported influenza positivity among ILI cases varied over the observed time period. Self-reported influenza vaccination rates in FNY were high across all observed seasons.

conclusionsA decrease in ILI was detected in the crowdsourced FNY surveillance system during the 2019-2020 and 2020-2021 influenza seasons, mirroring trends observed in other influenza surveillance systems. Specifically, the months within seasons that overlapped with widespread pandemic precautions showed decreases in ILI and confirmed influenza. Concerns persist regarding respiratory pathogens re-emerging with changes to COVID-19 guidelines. Traditional surveillance is subject to changes in health care behaviors. Systems like FNY are uniquely situated to detect disease across disease severity and care seeking, providing key insights during public health emergencies.

Indexed as

COVID-19CrowdsourcingInfluenza, HumanVirus DiseasesHumansPandemicsProspective StudiesSARS-CoV-2SeasonscoughCOVID-19crowdsourced datadetectiondiagnosisdisease surveillancefeverinfluenzaparticipatory surveillanceprecautionsrespiratorysore throatsurveillancesurveytransmissionvaccination

Identifiers

PMID38153782
PMCPMC10784978

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.