Observational studyEnvironmental health perspectives2023
Climate Change, Summer Temperature, and Heat-Related Mortality in Finland: Multicohort Study with Projections for a Sustainable vs. Fossil-Fueled Future to 2050.
Observational study in Environmental health perspectives, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Thermal indices for assessing the impact of outdoor thermal environments on human health: a systematic review of epidemiological studies.International journal of biometeorology · 2025Pooled it
- The impact of heat and cold events on direct, indirect, and intangible healthcare costs: a systematic review.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2026Article
- Future temperature-related mortality in various climate change and adaptation scenarios in Finland.International journal of biometeorology · 2026Article
- CVD Environmental Health Disparities Tool: systematic evidence mapping of psychosocial stressors, environmental exposures, and cardiovascular diseases to inform disparities research and action.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2026Review
- Temperature-attributable mortality projections under scenarios of climate change for Oslo, Norway.BMC public health · 2026Article
- Temperature Exposure and Acute Cardiovascular Disease Risk in New York City: Case Time Series.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2025Article
- Physiological responses to heat exposure in a general population cohort in Denmark: the Lolland-Falster Health Study.European journal of public health · 2024Article
- Examining the health impacts of climate change through electronic health records: A rapid review.The journal of climate change and healthArticle
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
13 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundClimate change scenarios illustrate various pathways in terms of global warming ranging from "sustainable development" (Shared Socioeconomic Pathway SSP1-1.9), the best-case scenario, to 'fossil-fueled development' (SSP5-8.5), the worst-case scenario.
objectivesWe examined the extent to which increase in daily average urban summer temperature is associated with future cause-specific mortality and projected heat-related mortality burden for the current warming trend and these two scenarios.
methodsWe did an observational cohort study of 363,754 participants living in six cities in Finland. Using residential addresses, participants were linked to daily temperature records and electronic death records from national registries during summers (1 May to 30 September) 2000 to 2018. For each day of observation, heat index (average daily air temperature weighted by humidity) for the preceding 7 d was calculated for participants' residential area using a geographic grid at a spatial resolution of
resultsDuring a cohort total exposure period of 582,111,979 summer days (3,880,746 person-summers), we recorded 4,094 deaths, including 949 from cardiovascular disease. The multivariable-adjusted rate ratio (RR) for high ( DISCUSSION: The increase in average urban summer temperature will raise heat-related cardiovascular mortality burden. The estimated magnitude of this burden is
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