Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38146744›Full record

ArticleCancer2024

Validation of the RSClin risk calculator in the National Cancer Data Base.

Augustin G L Vannier, Asim Dhungana, Fangyuan Zhao, Nan Chen, Sarah Shubeck, Olwen M Hahn, Rita Nanda, Nora T Jaskowiak, Gini F Fleming, Olufunmilayo I Olopade and 3 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Impact of anthracyclines in genomic high-risk, node-negative, HR-positive/HER2-negative breast cancer.Annals of oncology : official journal of the European Society for Medical Oncology · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Augustin G L VannierPritzker School of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Asim DhunganaPritzker School of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Fangyuan ZhaoDepartment of Public Health Sciences, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Nan ChenSection of Hematology/Oncology, Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Sarah ShubeckDepartment of Surgery, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Olwen M HahnSection of Hematology/Oncology, Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Rita NandaSection of Hematology/Oncology, Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5248-0876
Nora T JaskowiakDepartment of Surgery, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Gini F FlemingSection of Hematology/Oncology, Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Olufunmilayo I OlopadeSection of Hematology/Oncology, Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9936-1599
Alexander T PearsonSection of Hematology/Oncology, Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Dezheng HuoDepartment of Public Health Sciences, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Frederick M HowardSection of Hematology/Oncology, Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6039-1141
University of Chicago · USChicago Department of Public Health · US

Funding

UChicago Interdisciplinary Cancer Health Disparities SPOREP20CA233307 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI LINGEN, MARK W. · 2018 to 2020
$3.4M
Integrating Clinical, Pathologic, and Immune Features to Predict Breast Cancer Recurrence and Chemotherapy BenefitK08CA283261 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI Frederick Matthew Howard · 2023 to 2026
$806k
NCI NIH HHS 1P20-CA233307NCI NIH HHS K08 CA283261NCI NIH HHS K08CA283261NCI NIH HHS P20 CA233307Susan G. Komen SAC 210203
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGuidelines recommend the use of genomic assays such as OncotypeDx to aid in decisions regarding the use of chemotherapy for hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative (HR+/HER2-) breast cancer. The RSClin prognostic tool integrates OncotypeDx and clinicopathologic features to predict distant recurrence and chemotherapy benefit, but further validation is needed before broad clinical adoption.

methodsThis study included patients from the National Cancer Data Base (NCDB) who were diagnosed with stage I-III HR+/HER2- breast cancer from 2010 to 2020 and received adjuvant endocrine therapy with or without chemotherapy. RSClin-predicted chemotherapy benefit was stratified into low (<3% reduction in distant recurrence), intermediate (3%-5%), and high (>5%). Cox models were used to model mortality adjusted for age, comorbidity index, insurance, and race/ethnicity.

resultsA total of 285,441 patients were identified for inclusion from the NCDB, with an average age of 60 years and a median follow-up of 58 months. Chemotherapy was associated with improved overall survival only for those predicted to have intermediate (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.68; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.60-0.79) and high benefit per RSClin (aHR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.61-0.72). Consistent benefit was seen in the subset with a low OncotypeDx score (<26) and intermediate (aHR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.53-0.82) or high (aHR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.58-0.86) RSClin-predicted benefit. No survival benefit with chemotherapy was seen in patients with a high OncotypeDx score (≥26) and low benefit per RSClin (aHR, 1.70; 95% CI, 0.41-6.99).

conclusionsRSClin may identify high-risk patients who benefit from treatment intensification more accurately than OncotypeDx, and further prospective study is needed.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesChemotherapy, AdjuvantCombined Modality TherapyFemaleHumansMiddle AgedNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalPrognosisErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine Kinasesaromatase inhibitorsbreast neoplasmschemotherapyclinical decision-makinggene expression profilinghormone antagonistsprecision medicine

Identifiers

PMID38146744
PMCPMC10948297
OpenAlexW4390233269

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.