Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38136632›Full record

ArticleBiomolecules2023

Prediction of Parkinson's Disease Using Machine Learning Methods.

Jiayu Zhang, Wenchao Zhou, Hongmei Yu, Tong Wang, Xiaqiong Wang, Long Liu, Yalu Wen

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biomolecules, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
7.4field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 36 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Jiayu ZhangDepartment of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, No. 56 Xinjian South Road, Yingze District, Taiyuan 030001, China.ORCID 0009-0001-6905-9436
Wenchao ZhouDepartment of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, No. 56 Xinjian South Road, Yingze District, Taiyuan 030001, China.ORCID 0000-0001-6902-3233
Hongmei YuDepartment of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, No. 56 Xinjian South Road, Yingze District, Taiyuan 030001, China.ORCID 0000-0002-9852-2485
Tong WangDepartment of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, No. 56 Xinjian South Road, Yingze District, Taiyuan 030001, China.ORCID 0000-0002-9403-7167
Xiaqiong WangDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Southeast University, 87 Ding Jiaqiao Road, Nanjing 210009, China.
Long LiuDepartment of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, No. 56 Xinjian South Road, Yingze District, Taiyuan 030001, China.
Yalu WenDepartment of Statistics, University of Auckland, 38 Princes Street, Auckland Central, Auckland 1010, New Zealand.ORCID 0000-0002-0071-5917
Shanxi Medical University · CNSoutheast University · CNUniversity of Auckland · NZ

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 81903418National Natural Science Foundation of China 82173632National Natural Science Foundation of China 82273742Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust Project No. 19-UOA-209
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The detection of Parkinson's disease (PD) in its early stages is of great importance for its treatment and management, but consensus is lacking on what information is necessary and what models should be used to best predict PD risk. In our study, we first grouped PD-associated factors based on their cost and accessibility, and then gradually incorporated them into risk predictions, which were built using eight commonly used machine learning models to allow for comprehensive assessment. Finally, the Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) method was used to investigate the contributions of each factor. We found that models built with demographic variables, hospital admission examinations, clinical assessment, and polygenic risk score achieved the best prediction performance, and the inclusion of invasive biomarkers could not further enhance its accuracy. Among the eight machine learning models considered, penalized logistic regression and XGBoost were the most accurate algorithms for assessing PD risk, with penalized logistic regression achieving an area under the curve of 0.94 and a Brier score of 0.08. Olfactory function and polygenic risk scores were the most important predictors for PD risk. Our research has offered a practical framework for PD risk assessment, where necessary information and efficient machine learning tools were highlighted.

Indexed as

Parkinson DiseaseAlgorithmsGenetic Risk ScoreHospitalizationHumansMachine Learningmachine learningParkinson’s diseasepolygenic risk scoresrisk prediction modelSHAP value

Identifiers

PMID38136632
PMCPMC10741603
OpenAlexW4389479781

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.