Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38129103›Full record

ArticleGut2024

Gut microbiota predicts severity and reveals novel metabolic signatures in acute pancreatitis.

Christoph Ammer-Herrmenau, Kai L Antweiler, Thomas Asendorf, Georg Beyer, Soeren M Buchholz, Silke Cameron, Gabriele Capurso, Marko Damm, Linh Dang, Fabian Frost and 21 more

2 registry-linked trialsOpen access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Gut, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 51 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
51citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
13.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04777812 nacompletednot on this map

Pancreatitis - Microbiome As Predictor of Severity

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity Medical Center GoettingenRan2020 to 2024Enrolled424ConditionsAcute PancreatitisArmsRectal and buccal swabs
NCT06508502 recruitingnot on this map

Pancreatitis - Microbiome as Predictor of Severity II

TypeobservationalSponsorUniversity Medical Center GoettingenRan2024 to 2027Enrolled700ConditionsAcute Pancreatitis, Acute Pancreatitis With Infected Necrosis
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

51 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 43 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Antibiotic-associatedGut microbes · 2026
    Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. The Roles of Gut Microbiota in the Pathogenesis of Acute Pancreatitis.Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research · 2026
    Review
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. PDA@MnOJournal of nanobiotechnology · 2026
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Acute pancreatitis: mechanisms and therapeutic approaches.Signal transduction and targeted therapy · 2026
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

31 authors at 15 institutions in 8 countries.

Christoph Ammer-HerrmenauDepartment of Gastroenterology, gastrointestinal Oncology and Endocrinology, University Medical Centre Goettingen, Goettingen, Germany.
Kai L AntweilerDepartment of Medical Statistics, University Medical Centre Goettingen, Goettingen, Germany.
Thomas AsendorfDepartment of Medical Statistics, University Medical Centre Goettingen, Goettingen, Germany.
Georg BeyerDepartment of Medicine II, Ludwig Maximilians University Hospital, Munich, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-7607-8264
Soeren M BuchholzDepartment of Gastroenterology, gastrointestinal Oncology and Endocrinology, University Medical Centre Goettingen, Goettingen, Germany.
Silke CameronDepartment of Gastroenterology, gastrointestinal Oncology and Endocrinology, University Medical Centre Goettingen, Goettingen, Germany.
Gabriele CapursoPancreato-Biliary Endoscopy and Endosonography Division, Pancreas Translational & Clinical Research Centre, San Raffaele Scientific Institute IRCCS, Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy.
Marko DammInternal Medicine I, University Hospital Halle, Halle, Germany.
Linh DangDepartment Medical Bioinformatics, University Medical Centre Goettingen, Goettingen, Germany.
Fabian FrostDepartment of Medicine A, University Medicine Greifswald, Greifswald, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-1502-8888
Antonio GomesDepartment of General Surgery, Hospital Professor Doctor Fernando Fonseca, Amadora, Amadora, Portugal.
Jacob HammDepartment of Gastroenterology, gastrointestinal Oncology and Endocrinology, University Medical Centre Goettingen, Goettingen, Germany.
Robert HenkerMedical Department II, Division of Gastroenterology, University Hospital Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany.
Albrecht HoffmeisterMedical Department II, Division of Gastroenterology, University Hospital Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany.
Christian MeinhardtUniversity Clinic of Internal Medicine - Gastroenterology, University Hospital Oldenburg, Oldenburg, Germany.
Lukasz NawackiCollegium Medicum, The Jan Kochanowski University in Kielce, Kielce, Poland.
Vitor NunesDepartment of General Surgery, Hospital Professor Doctor Fernando Fonseca, Amadora, Amadora, Portugal.
Arpad Panyko4th Department of Surgery, University Hospital Bratislava, Bratislava, Slovakia.
Cesareo PardoServicio de Aparato Digestivo, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain.
Veit PhillipDepartment of Internal Medicine II, University Hospital rechts der Isar, School of Medicine, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany.
Aldis PukitisCenter of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Pauls Stradins Clinical University Hospital, Riga, Latvia.
Sebastian RaschDepartment of Internal Medicine II, University Hospital rechts der Isar, School of Medicine, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany.
Diana RiekstinaCenter of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Pauls Stradins Clinical University Hospital, Riga, Latvia.
Ecaterina RinjaClinical Emergency Hospital Bucharest, Carol Davila University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Bucharest, Romania.
María Lourdes Ruiz-RebolloServicio de Aparato Digestivo, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain.
Simon SirtlDepartment of Medicine II, Ludwig Maximilians University Hospital, Munich, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-6047-334X
Mark WeingartenDepartment of Gastroenterology, gastrointestinal Oncology and Endocrinology, University Medical Centre Goettingen, Goettingen, Germany.
Vasile SandruClinical Emergency Hospital Bucharest, Carol Davila University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Bucharest, Romania.ORCID 0000-0001-6206-6126
Julia WoitallaDepartment of Medicine II, University Hospital of Rostock, Rostock, Germany.
Volker EllenriederDepartment of Gastroenterology, gastrointestinal Oncology and Endocrinology, University Medical Centre Goettingen, Goettingen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-9981-8571
Albrecht NeesseDepartment of Gastroenterology, gastrointestinal Oncology and Endocrinology, University Medical Centre Goettingen, Goettingen, Germany albrecht.neesse@med.uni-goettingen.de.ORCID 0000-0002-3690-1957
University of Göttingen · DECarol Davila University of Medicine and Pharmacy · ROHospital Clínico Universitario de Valladolid · ESHospital Prof. Dr. Fernando Fonseca · PTLudwig-Maximilians-Universität München · DEPauls Stradiņš Clinical University Hospital · LVTUM Klinikum · DEUniversity Hospital Leipzig · DEJan Kochanowski University · PLKlinikum Oldenburg · DEUniversitätsmedizin Greifswald · DEUniversity Hospital Bratislava · SKUniversity Hospital in Halle · DEUniversity of Rostock · DEVita-Salute San Raffaele University · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveEarly disease prediction is challenging in acute pancreatitis (AP). Here, we prospectively investigate whether the microbiome predicts severity of AP (Pancreatitis-Microbiome As Predictor of Severity; P-MAPS) early at hospital admission.

designBuccal and rectal microbial swabs were collected from 424 patients with AP within 72 hours of hospital admission in 15 European centres. All samples were sequenced by full-length 16S rRNA and metagenomic sequencing using Oxford Nanopore Technologies. Primary endpoint was the association of the orointestinal microbiome with the revised Atlanta classification (RAC). Secondary endpoints were mortality, length of hospital stay and severity (organ failure >48 hours and/or occurrence of pancreatic collections requiring intervention) as post hoc analysis. Multivariate analysis was conducted from normalised microbial and corresponding clinical data to build classifiers for predicting severity. For functional profiling, gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was performed and normalised enrichment scores calculated.

resultsAfter data processing, 411 buccal and 391 rectal samples were analysed. The intestinal microbiome significantly differed for the RAC (Bray-Curtis, p value=0.009), mortality (Bray-Curtis, p value 0.006), length of hospital stay (Bray-Curtis, p=0.009) and severity (Bray-Curtis, p value=0.008). A classifier for severity with 16 different species and systemic inflammatory response syndrome achieved an area under the receiving operating characteristic (AUROC) of 85%, a positive predictive value of 67% and a negative predictive value of 94% outperforming established severity scores. GSEA revealed functional pathway units suggesting elevated short-chain fatty acid (SCFA) production in severe AP.

conclusionsThe orointestinal microbiome predicts clinical hallmark features of AP, and SCFAs may be used for future diagnostic and therapeutic concepts. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04777812.

Indexed as

Gastrointestinal MicrobiomePancreatitisAcute DiseaseHumansRNA, Ribosomal, 16SSeverity of Illness IndexRNA, Ribosomal, 16Sacute pancreatitispancreaspancreatic disorders

Identifiers

PMID38129103
PMCPMC10894816
OpenAlexW4390047719

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.