Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38126083›Full record

ArticleThe Australian and New Zealand journal of psychiatry2024

Treatment guesses in the Treatment for Adolescents with Depression Study: Accuracy, unblinding and influence on outcomes.

Jon Jureidini, Joanna Moncrieff, Julie Klau, Natalie Aboustate, Melissa Raven

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Australian and New Zealand journal of psychiatry, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT00006286 (Treatment for Adolescents With Depression Study), which is not on this map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT00006286 phase3completednot on this map

Treatment for Adolescents With Depression Study (TADS)

TypeinterventionalSponsorNational Institute of Mental Health (NIMH)Ran1998 to 2004Enrolled432ConditionsMajor Depressive Disorder, DepressionArmsFluoxetine, Psychotherapy
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Response to Wang et al. and Shen et al.Journal of the National Cancer Institute · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Jon JureidiniCritical and Ethical Mental Health Research Group, Robinson Research Institute, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA, Australia.
Joanna MoncrieffDivision of Psychiatry, Division of Psychiatry, University College London, London, UK.
Julie KlauCritical and Ethical Mental Health Research Group, Robinson Research Institute, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-9497-8752
Natalie AboustateCritical and Ethical Mental Health Research Group, Robinson Research Institute, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-8281-2878
Melissa RavenCritical and Ethical Mental Health Research Group, Robinson Research Institute, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-8781-6031

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveWe evaluated the presence and impact of unblinding during the influential Treatment for Adolescents with Depression Study (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00006286).

methodOur analysis was part of a Restoring Invisible and Abandoned Trials reanalysis. Treatment for Adolescents with Depression Study trialled fluoxetine, placebo, cognitive behaviour therapy or their combination, in treating adolescents with major depressive disorder. We analysed the accuracy of guesses of fluoxetine or placebo allocation, and their effects on change in Children's Depression Rating Scale-Revised at 12 weeks.

resultsOf 221 participants allocated to fluoxetine or placebo, 151 adolescents (68%) had their guess about pill-treatment-arm allocation recorded at week 6, and guesses were recorded for 154 independent evaluators, 159 parents and 164 pharmacotherapists. All of these groups guessed treatment allocation more accurately than would be expected by chance (60-66% accuracy; all

conclusionsFor Treatment for Adolescents with Depression Study, treatment guesses strongly predicted outcomes and may have led to the exaggeration of drug effectiveness in the absence of actual effects. The integrity of double-blinding in trials should be routinely assessed and reported.

Indexed as

FluoxetineMajor Depressive DisorderAdolescentCombined Modality TherapyDepressionHumansRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicTreatment OutcomeFluoxetineadolescent depressionantidepressantplaceboRandomised controlled trial blindingselective serotonin reuptake inhibitor

Identifiers

PMID38126083
PMCPMC10960316

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.